US Core PPI YoY Actual 2.8% (Forecast 3.5%, Previous 3.7%)

US Core PPI YoY Actual 2.8% (Forecast 3.5%, Previous 3.7%)

On September 10, 2025, the US Core Producer Price Index (PPI) Year-on-Year (YoY) data was released, showing an actual increase of 2.8%, compared to a forecast of 3.5% and the previous month's rate of 3.7% .

The Core PPI, which excludes food and energy, is a key indicator of inflation at the producer level. The July 2025 data marks the second consecutive month of deceleration in the YoY growth rate, following a 3.7% increase in June . The decrease in the Core PPI YoY suggests a moderation in inflationary pressures, which could influence monetary policy decisions by the Federal Reserve.

The actual figure of 2.8% was slightly below market estimates, indicating a slower pace of price increases in the producer sector. This trend is in line with broader economic indicators, such as the Atlanta Fed GDPNow forecast of 3.0% for the third quarter of 2025 .

The Core PPI data, along with other economic indicators like the EIA Crude Oil Inventories and the 10-Year Note Auction results, will continue to shape market expectations and influence investor sentiment. As traders prepare for the upcoming economic data releases on Wednesday, September 10, 2025, the Core PPI YoY will remain a critical factor in assessing the overall health and direction of the US economy.