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Constellation Energy (CEG) reported Q3 2025 earnings that missed expectations, with net income declining 22.3% year-over-year. The company narrowed its full-year guidance, signaling cautious optimism amid strategic moves like the pending Calpine acquisition.
Revenue
Total revenue rose slightly to $6.57 billion, driven by robust performance in the Mid-Atlantic and Midwest regions. The nuclear segment, producing 46,477 gigawatt-hours, contributed $5.88 billion, while renewable energy capture reached 96.8%. Additional revenue streams, including $844 million in other operations and mark-to-market gains/losses, rounded out the total.
Earnings/Net Income
Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) fell to $3.04 from $3.83, while net income dropped to $929 million. The EPS decline indicates a negative performance relative to prior-year results, despite favorable market conditions and operational efficiency improvements.
Post-Earnings Price Action Review
The strategy of buying
shares on its earnings date and holding for 30 days yielded moderate returns but underperformed the market. A 3-year annualized return of 12.5% lagged behind the S&P 500’s 15.8%, highlighting the volatility and timing challenges of leveraging earnings announcements for long-term decisions.CEO Commentary
CEO Joseph Dominguez emphasized operational excellence, including near-perfect nuclear reliability and progress on the Calpine acquisition. He highlighted strategic priorities like advancing the data economy and leveraging nuclear’s policy support, while cautioning on new projects until durable PPAs and cost clarity are achieved.
Guidance
Full-year 2025 adjusted operating earnings guidance was narrowed to $9.05–$9.45/share, reflecting strong nuclear and commercial performance. The company expects to close the Calpine deal by Q4 2025, with combined guidance expected by late February 2026.
Additional News
Constellation Energy finalized a $26.6 billion acquisition of Calpine, enhancing its natural gas assets and expanding electricity output potential by 80%. The company also secured water quality certification for the Conowingo Dam, enabling continued operations. Additionally, Constellation reaffirmed its commitment to $600 million in buybacks and 10%+ annual dividend growth, maintaining investment-grade credit ratings.
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