ConocoPhillips beats by $0.31; announces $9 billion return of capital

Written byGavin Maguire
Thursday, Feb 8, 2024 12:59 pm ET2min read
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Venturing into the financial terrain with a jaguar's agility, ConocoPhillips, a trailblazer in independent exploration and production, unveiled its fourth-quarter and annual financial achievements for 2023. Amid the flux of fluctuating commodity prices, the company showcased its operational resilience, reporting a slight dip in quarterly earnings from the preceding year yet achieving unprecedented production heights and steadfastly upholding a vigorous capital return agenda.

For the concluding quarter, ConocoPhillips recorded earnings of $3.0 billion, translating to $2.52 per share, juxtaposed against $3.2 billion, or $2.61 per share, in the analogous quarter of 2022. The annual earnings narrative for 2023 unfolded with $11.0 billion in earnings, or $9.06 per share, marking a descent from the $18.7 billion, or $14.57 per share, chronicled in 2022. When adjusted for special items, the quarter's earnings stood at $2.9 billion, or $2.40 per share, with the year's adjusted earnings totaling $10.6 billion, or $8.77 per share.

A preliminary reserve replacement ratio of 123% underscored the company's adept resource stewardship and the promise of sustained production. The quarter's production surged to 1,902 MBOED, a notable increase of 144 MBOED from the year prior, bolstered by strategic acquisitions and operational achievements, notably the complete acquisition of Surmont's interest and the pivotal investment decision on Alaska's Willow project.

ConocoPhillips' financial resilience was further highlighted by its adept navigation through the challenges of a 18% reduction in average realized price per BOE compared to the fourth quarter of 2022. The company manifested $20.0 billion in operating activities cash flow and $21.3 billion in CFO for the year, directing $11.0 billion towards shareholder dividends and share repurchases, reaffirming its investor value return commitment.

With an eye on the future, ConocoPhillips delineated its 2024 capital expenditure forecast between $11.0 and $11.5 billion, projecting a production range of 1.91 to 1.95 MMBOED. The company's unwavering focus is on delivering competitive capital returns, propelling its net-zero operational emissions ambition, and navigating the energy transition pathway.

ConocoPhillips stands primed for continued financial and operational success, underpinned by a diversified portfolio that ensures robust cash flow generation. Its strategic investments and operational efficiencies set a sturdy foundation for sustainable growth and shareholder returns. As ConocoPhillips proceeds with a disciplined capital management approach, as evidenced by its forthcoming $9 billion capital return in 2024, including an ordinary dividend of $0.58 per share and a variable return of cash (VROC) of $0.20 per share, investors and stakeholders can anticipate the company maintaining its commitment to capital return competitiveness and advancing its net-zero emissions goal.

ConocoPhillips' 2023 financial disclosures reveal a company that, despite the headwinds of lower commodity prices, remains steadfast in its commitment to operational efficiency and strategic investments, positioning it favorably for sustained growth and shareholder returns. As the company steers through the energy transition pathway, its dedication to competitive capital returns and its net-zero operational emissions ambition remain unwavering.

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Senior Analyst and trader with 20+ years experience with in-depth market coverage, economic trends, industry research, stock analysis, and investment ideas.

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