Concentrix (CNXC) Plunges 10% as Oversold RSI and Sector Weakness Collide—What’s Next for the Tech Services Giant?

Generated by AI AgentTickerSnipe
Friday, Aug 1, 2025 12:56 pm ET2min read

Summary

(CNXC) tumbles 10.09% intraday to $46.73, nearing its 52-week low of $36.28
• RSI hits 34.04, signaling oversold conditions amid heavy selloff
• Sector leader (ACN) drops 3.28%, amplifying CNXC’s downward pressure
• 2025-10-17 $45 puts surge 633% in turnover, outpacing call activity
Concentrix’s brutal intraday selloff has pushed it to oversold territory, with the stock trading at a 9.63% discount from its opening price. The move coincides with broader weakness in the IT Services sector, led by Accenture’s 3.28% decline. Technical indicators and options data suggest a bearish , with key support levels and volatility metrics demanding immediate attention.

Oversold RSI and Macroeconomic Pressures Fuel CNXC's Selloff
Concentrix’s 10.09% intraday drop is driven by a technical oversold condition, with RSI at 34.04 and price testing the 200-day moving average of $49.35. The stock has been pressured by broader macroeconomic concerns in the Business Services sector, as well as its own valuation metrics. Despite a strong DividendRank score (top 10% of coverage universe), CNXC’s recent annualized dividend yield of 2.56% has not shielded it from the selloff. The stock’s 52-week range of $36.28–$77.00 suggests a volatile landscape, with the current price near support levels but lacking catalysts to reverse the trend.

Business Services Sector Stumbles as Concentrix Trails Sector Averages
The Business Services sector, represented by Accenture (ACN), is underperforming with a -3.28% intraday decline. CNXC’s 9.63% drop far outpaces the sector’s average RSI of 45.9, highlighting its relative weakness. While ACN’s decline reflects broader sector headwinds, CNXC’s selloff appears more acute, likely due to its own valuation challenges and technical exhaustion. The sector’s 30-day moving average of $56.64 offers a benchmark for CNXC’s potential recovery, though current momentum suggests further downside risk.

Bearish Setup: Leveraged Puts and Defensive Calls in Focus
• RSI: 34.04 (oversold)
• MACD: -0.6846 (bearish divergence)

Bands: Lower bound at $53.26 (current price below)
• 200D MA: $49.35 (price at 44.48–45.04 support)
Key levels to watch include the 200-day support at $44.48 and the 30-day support at $57.73. Short-term bearish momentum is reinforced by the MACD histogram and RSI, suggesting further declines before potential oversold rebound. The leveraged ETF data is unavailable, but the Business Services sector’s weakness implies caution for longs.

Top Put Option: CNXC20251017P45
• Code: CNXC20251017P45
• Type: Put
• Strike: $45
• Expiration: 2025-10-17
• IV: 47.56% (moderate)
• Leverage Ratio: 15.08% (high)
• Delta: -0.3794 (moderate bearish exposure)
• Theta: -0.0191 (slow time decay)
• Gamma: 0.0369 (moderate price sensitivity)
• Turnover: 5,963 (liquid)
• Payoff (5% Downside): $1.19 (max profit if CNXC drops to $44.62)
This contract offers high leverage and liquidity, ideal for aggressive short-term bearish bets. The moderate delta and gamma ensure responsiveness to price declines without extreme time decay.

Top Call Option: CNXC20251017C50
• Code: CNXC20251017C50
• Type: Call
• Strike: $50
• Expiration: 2025-10-17
• IV: 51.61% (moderate)
• Leverage Ratio: 14.61% (high)
• Delta: 0.4396 (moderate bullish exposure)
• Theta: -0.0310 (moderate time decay)
• Gamma: 0.0352 (moderate price sensitivity)
• Turnover: 10,810 (liquid)
• Payoff (5% Downside): $0.00 (out of the money)
This call offers defensive upside potential if CNXC rebounds above $50, with liquidity and moderate leverage to balance risk. Aggressive bulls may consider this as a hedge to a rebound above the 50-day MA.

If $44.48 breaks, CNXC20251017P45 offers short-side potential. Aggressive bulls may consider CNXC20251017C50 into a bounce above $50.

Backtest Concentrix Stock Performance
The backtest of CNXC's performance after an intraday plunge of -10% shows mixed results. While the 3-day win rate is 49.37%, the 10-day win rate is slightly higher at 49.91%, and the 30-day win rate is 54.41%, indicating a higher probability of positive returns in the short term. However, the maximum return during the backtest period was only 0.05%, which suggests that even though there was a chance of recovery, the overall performance after the plunge was muted.

CNXC at Crossroads: Oversold Rebound or Further Downtrend?
Concentrix’s 9.63% selloff has pushed it to oversold RSI levels, but the stock remains below key moving averages and sector benchmarks. The bearish technical setup, coupled with the Business Services sector’s -3.28% decline (led by ACN), suggests continued pressure unless a catalyst emerges. For now, the CNXC20251017P45 put offers high leverage for downside bets, while the CNXC20251017C50 call provides a hedge against a rebound. Investors should monitor the 200-day support at $44.48 and the sector leader ACN’s trajectory. If CNXC breaks below $44.48, the put option becomes a strategic play; if it bounces above $50, the call could offer upside. Watch for a breakout or breakdown in the next 10 days.

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