Community Trust Bancorp's 15min chart shows RSI Overbought, KDJ Death Cross.

Tuesday, Aug 12, 2025 3:17 pm ET1min read
CTBI--

Based on the 15-minute chart for Community Trust Bancorp, the RSI indicator has reached overbought levels, and the KDJ has triggered a death cross. This suggests that the stock price has risen too quickly and exceeds the fundamental support, indicating a shift in momentum towards the downside. Therefore, there is a potential for further decreases in the stock price.

Community Trust Bancorp (CTBI), a financial services company headquartered in Pikeville, has shown bearish indicators on its 15-minute chart, suggesting a potential downward trend in its stock price. On August 8, 2025, at 15:45, the chart exhibited a MACD Death Cross and KDJ Death Cross, signaling a shift in momentum towards the downside [2]. Additionally, the presence of a Bearish Marubozu candlestick pattern further emphasizes the strong bearish trend [2].

Despite these technical indicators, Community Trust Bancorp reported Q2 earnings of $44.78 per share, surpassing estimates by $5.70, with revenue of $2.38 billion exceeding expectations [2]. The company also declared a quarterly dividend of $1.95 per share, maintaining a yield of 0.38% [2]. Analyst ratings remain mixed, with a "Moderate Buy" consensus based on 13 Wall Street firms [2].

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator has reached overbought levels, suggesting that the stock price has risen too quickly and exceeds the fundamental support, indicating a shift in momentum towards the downside. Therefore, there is a potential for further decreases in the stock price [1].

Community Trust Bancorp's net interest margin is expanding, the balance sheet is growing, and asset quality remains resilient, contributing to a solid first-half performance for the bank [2]. The stock has returned a sector-average ~5% since March, but the bank's longer-term performance has seen over 50ppt of outperformance this past decade [2].

Institutional ownership stands at 78.01%, reflecting diversified investor sentiment [2]. The strategy of purchasing the top 500 stocks by daily trading volume and holding for one day generated a 166.71% return from 2022 to 2025, outperforming the benchmark by 137.53% [2]. With a Sharpe ratio of 1.14 and a 31.89% CAGR, the approach demonstrated robust risk-adjusted performance, validating its effectiveness in capturing market trends [2].

References:
[1] https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/filing-first-citizens-bancshares-inc-nasdaqfcnca-stake-increased-by-tredje-ap-fonden-2025-07-30/
[2] https://www.ainvest.com/news/community-trust-bancorp-15min-chart-shows-bearish-signals-macd-kdj-bearish-marubozu-2508/

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