Coincheck Profits Rise Amid Shrinking Trading Volume
Date of Call: Feb 12, 2026
Financials Results
- Revenue: $915 million, up 17% YOY from $785 million
- Gross Margin: $24 million, down 20% YOY from $31 million
Business Commentary:
Revenue and Trading Volume Trends:
- Coincheck Group reported
total revenueof$915 millionfor the fiscal 2026 third quarter, up17%year-on-year from$785 million. - The company's
marketplace trading volumedecreased25%to$559 million, down from$749 millionin the previous year's third quarter. - Revenue growth was partially driven by additional gross revenue from the Aplo acquisition, while the trading volume decline was due to overall decreases in crypto marketplace trading volumes.
User Growth and Market Position:
- The company's
verified user accountsincreased to2.5 million, up from2.2 millionthe previous year. - Despite a substantial decrease in customer assets, Coincheck, Inc. remains the
No. 1 downloaded crypto app in Japan. - The increase in verified accounts was largely due to market price declines in crypto assets, while the app's top position is attributed to continued user growth and product enhancement.
Profitability and Cost Management:
- Coincheck Group reported
net incomeof$2.6 millionfor the fiscal 2026 third quarter, compared to a net loss of$98.5 millionthe previous year. - The company's
Adjusted EBITDAdecreased by38%to$9.1 million, mainly due to a reduction in marketplace trading volume. - The improved profitability was despite challenging market conditions, supported by cost control and a strategic focus on core operations.
Strategic Acquisitions and Expansion:
- The company announced the pending acquisition of 3iQ Corp, a leading digital asset manager, to further diversify its revenue streams into the global crypto institutional market.
- Recent acquisitions include Next Finance Tech for staking and Aplo for prime brokerage, aimed at building a comprehensive global crypto financial services holding company.
- These strategic moves are part of a broader plan to expand into both Japanese and international institutional markets, leveraging cross-platform synergies.
Regulatory Environment and Market Outlook:
- There is an anticipated regulatory unlocking in Japan that could broadly open the market for institutions and mass retail participation in digital assets.
- The environment is converging for clarity on tax reforms and regulatory changes, similar to the developments seen in North America previously.
- This regulatory shift is expected to enhance market opportunities, particularly for institutional investors preparing to enter the crypto space in Japan.

Sentiment Analysis:
Overall Tone: Positive
- Management expressed being 'pleased with our results in these challenging market conditions' and highlighted 'another quarter of strong Adjusted EBITDA.' The tone was optimistic about future growth, regulatory unlocking in Japan, and global institutional expansion, citing 'very positive entry position' and 'clear path to long-term growth.'
Q&A:
- Question from Edward Engel (Compass Point): Any update on potential tax reform in Japan related to crypto gains?
Response: Regulatory environment is converging for clarity on tax and legal status; institutions are actively gearing up for the anticipated regulatory unlock, similar to pre-2025 conditions in Japan.
- Question from Edward Engel (Compass Point): Does the leadership transition impact the company's appetite for M&A?
Response: Current focus is on digesting and integrating recent acquisitions; the company will remain opportunistic for future deals that fill market gaps.
- Question from Alex Markgraff (KeyBanc Capital Markets): How do you compare growth opportunities between Japan retail and global institutional markets over the next 12 months?
Response: Institutional interest is strong and steadfast despite price declines, with active planning for entry, especially in Japan. Retail opportunities will be monitored but are less emphasized currently.
- Question from Alex Markgraff (KeyBanc Capital Markets): How are retail customers reacting to recent price declines?
Response: Retail customers in Japan are holding positions, buying into dips, and not selling to realize profit due to pending tax reforms, leading to stable or increased token holdings.
- Question from Brett Noblock (Cantor Fitzgerald): Can you provide more color on 3iQ acquisition synergies, financial profile, and growth expectations?
Response: 3iQ brings distribution capabilities and logo wins in asset management; integration is expected to be smooth, enabling synergies in liquidity and staking, with cross-selling opportunities for Japanese institutions.
Contradiction Point 1
Strategic Focus on M&A and Integration
The company's primary focus for growth and synergy shifts from opportunistic M&A to immediate integration.
2026Q3: The current focus is on digesting and integrating the four companies... The company will remain opportunistic for future M&A... - Pascal St-Jean(CEO)
1) Are there updates on potential tax reform in Japan regarding crypto gains? 2) Does the leadership transition affect the company’s M&A appetite? - Alex Markgraf (KeyBank Capital)
2026Q2: The focus is on synergies rather than full integration, particularly in enhancing liquidity provision... - Gary Simanson(CFO)
Contradiction Point 2
Assessment of Institutional Interest and Market Outlook
The characterization of institutional interest evolves from a general market trend to a specific, imminent catalyst.
What are your thoughts on the current market conditions? - Alex Markgraff (KeyBanc Capital Markets)
2026Q3: A key difference from the 2021-22 downturn is that institutions are not wavering and are steadfast in planning to enter the market. For the coming year, the focus is on Japanese institutional entry... - Pascal St-Jean(CEO)
How do you assess the growth opportunities for Japan retail versus global institutional markets over the next 12 months, and how are Japanese retail customers reacting to recent price declines in late January and February? - Alex Markgraf (KeyBank Capital)
2026Q2: The events highlighted the need for continuous cybersecurity vigilance across the industry. There is ongoing debate about whether DeFi or traditional markets handled a related liquidity crisis better. - Gary Simanson(CFO)
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