Coeur Mining (CDE) Surges 11.67%—What’s Fueling This Gold Miner’s Explosive Move?

Summary
• Coeur Mining’s stock (CDE) rockets 11.67% intraday to $11.045, hitting its 52-week high of $11.295
• Q2 2025 earnings unveil record $480.7M revenue, 33% QoQ jump, and $70.7M net income
• Gold prices surge to $3,470/oz as Trump’s tariff threats and central bank demand drive safe-haven flows

Coeur Mining’s stock has erupted in premarket and intraday trading, surging 11.67% to $11.045 as of 4:39 PM EDT. This explosive move follows the company’s Q2 2025 earnings report, which highlighted record revenue and net income amid a broader gold sector rally. With gold futures hitting a new all-time high and Trump’s tariff policies stoking market uncertainty, CDE’s performance reflects both operational strength and macroeconomic tailwinds.

Q2 Earnings and Operational Gains Ignite CDE’s Rally
Coeur Mining’s 11.67% surge is driven by its Q2 2025 earnings report, which revealed record $480.7 million in revenue—a 33% increase from Q1 2025—and $70.7 million in net income, more than doubling the previous quarter’s $33.4 million. The company attributed this to higher gold and silver prices (up 15% and 5% QoQ, respectively) and operational improvements at its Rochester and Las Chispas mines. Additionally, Coeur’s free cash flow surged to $146.1 million, enabling share repurchases and balance sheet strengthening. These results, combined with a broader gold sector rally fueled by Trump’s tariff threats and central bank demand, have propelled CDE to its 52-week high.

Gold Sector Rally as Coeur Surpasses Peers
The gold sector is surging on the back of geopolitical tensions and central bank demand, with Coeur Mining outperforming peers like Pan American Silver (PAAS) and Fortuna Mining (FSM). While PAAS rose 5.76% and FSM fell 11.46% on the same day, CDE’s 11.67% gain underscores its strong operational execution and strategic acquisitions (e.g., Las Chispas). The sector’s momentum is further supported by gold prices hitting $3,470/oz, with analysts like UBS and Citigroup raising gold forecasts to $3,500–$3,800/oz. Coeur’s balanced portfolio (67% gold, 33% silver) and domestic production focus position it as a key beneficiary of this trend.

Capitalizing on CDE’s Bullish Momentum: ETFs and Options Playbook
• MACD: 0.122 (bullish divergence from signal line 0.095)
• RSI: 62.2 (neutral to overbought)
• Bollinger Bands: Price at $11.045 (above upper band $9.91)
• 200-day MA: $6.99 (far below current price)

Coeur Mining’s technicals and fundamentals align for a continuation of its bullish trend. Key support levels include the 200-day MA ($6.99) and the 30-day support ($8.83), while resistance is at the 52-week high of $11.295. With gold prices and geopolitical risks likely to persist, aggressive bulls should target the $11.295–$11.50 range. The lack of a leveraged ETF complicates direct exposure, but options offer high-leverage opportunities.

Top Option 1: CDE20250919C10
• Code: CDE20250919C10
• Type: Call
• Strike: $10
• Expiration: 2025-09-19
• IV: 50.82% (moderate)
• Leverage Ratio: 8.02% (high)
• Delta: 0.7428 (high sensitivity)
• Theta: -0.0136 (rapid time decay)
• Gamma: 0.1663 (high sensitivity to price moves)
• Turnover: 216,099
• Payoff at 5% Upside: $1.12 per contract (ST = $11.595)
This call option offers explosive potential if CDE breaks above $11.295, with high gamma and leverage amplifying gains in a bullish scenario.

Top Option 2: CDE20250919C12.5
• Code: CDE20250919C12.5
• Type: Call
• Strike: $12.50
• Expiration: 2025-09-19
• IV: 53.66% (moderate)
• Leverage Ratio: 33.30% (very high)
• Delta: 0.2842 (moderate sensitivity)
• Theta: -0.0106 (rapid decay)
• Gamma: 0.1656 (high sensitivity)
• Turnover: 64,225
• Payoff at 5% Upside: $0.095 per contract (ST = $11.595)
While the delta is lower, the high leverage and gamma make this a speculative play for a sharp breakout above $12.50, though time decay is a risk.

Action Alert: Aggressive bulls should prioritize CDE20250919C10 for a near-term breakout trade, while CDE20250919C12.5 suits high-risk, high-reward scenarios. Monitor gold prices and Trump’s tariff rhetoric for catalysts.

Backtest Coeur Mining Stock Performance
The 12% intraday surge in CDE has historically led to positive short-to-medium-term gains. The backtest data shows that following such a surge:1. Short-Term Gains: The 3-day win rate is 49.92%, with an average return of 0.19% over 3 days. This indicates that nearly half of the time, the stock continues to rise in the immediate aftermath of the surge.2. Medium-Term Gains: The 10-day win rate is 50.93%, with an average return of 0.64% over 10 days. This suggests that a larger proportion of the time, the stock maintains its upward momentum compared to the short term.3. Long-Term Gains: The 30-day win rate is 51.61%, with an average return of 2.39% over 30 days. This indicates that even in the medium-to-long term, the stock tends to perform well after the 12% intraday surge.4. Maximum Return: The maximum return observed following the surge is 5.60%, which occurs on day 58 after the surge. This highlights that while the stock typically exhibits gradual gains, it can experience more significant appreciation in the later stages.In conclusion, while there is some volatility in the immediate aftermath of the surge, CDE tends to perform well in the short, medium, and long term, with the potential for substantial returns if held for a sufficient period.

Coeur Mining’s Bull Run Gains Legs—Position for a Breakout
Coeur Mining’s 11.67% surge is a testament to its operational excellence and the gold sector’s resilience amid macroeconomic headwinds. With record Q2 results, a strengthened balance sheet, and a 52-week high in sight, the stock is poised to extend its rally. Investors should watch for a breakout above $11.295 and a test of $11.50, with gold prices and Trump’s tariff policies as key drivers. Meanwhile, sector leader Newmont (NEM) rose 1.92%, signaling broader industry strength. For those seeking leverage, CDE20250919C10 offers a high-conviction play on CDE’s momentum. Act now—this is a breakout moment.