Chipotle's $560M Volume Ranks 169th as Earnings Outlooks Clash with 23.8% Stock Slide, Analysts Split on Hold vs. Strong Buy

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Volume Radar
Thursday, Aug 28, 2025 8:06 pm ET1min read
CMG--
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Chipotle's stock closed down 0.56% on August 28 with $560M trading volume, ranking 169th in market activity.

- Analysts project 11.1% Q2 EPS growth and 17.6% FY2026 earnings increase, but Zacks Rank assigns a "Hold" due to mixed signals.

- Shares fell 23.8% year-to-date versus S&P 500's 15.8% gain, with management revising sales outlook to flat growth amid declining customer visits.

- Despite weak guidance, 32 analysts maintain "Strong Buy" ratings with $59.03 average target, implying 39.7% potential upside.

On August 28, 2025, ChipotleCMG-- (CMG) traded with a volume of $0.56 billion, ranking 169th in market activity, as the stock closed down 0.56% for the day.

Analysts highlight earnings estimate revisions as a key factor for Chipotle’s near-term outlook. The company is projected to report $0.30 per share for the current quarter, reflecting an 11.1% year-over-year increase. For the fiscal year ending December 2025, the consensus estimate of $1.21 per share indicates 8% growth, while the next fiscal year’s estimate of $1.42 signals a 17.6% rise. Despite recent stability in these projections, the Zacks Rank system assigns a “Hold” rating (#3), underscoring mixed signals from earnings revisions and broader market dynamics.

Chipotle’s stock has underperformed the S&P 500 and the restaurant sector over the past year, with a 23.8% decline compared to the index’s 15.8% gain. Recent earnings results showed a beat in Q2 2025 adjusted EPS but missed revenue expectations, triggering a 13.3% drop in share price. Management revised its annual comparable sales outlook to flat growth, citing weak consumer demand, higher menu prices, and a 6% decline in customer visits. Despite these challenges, 32 analysts maintain a “Strong Buy” consensus, with a mean price target of $59.03—implying a 39.7% potential upside from current levels.

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