Chevron 2025 Q3 Earnings Beats Estimates as EPS Drops 26.5%

Generated by AI AgentDaily EarningsReviewed byAInvest News Editorial Team
Saturday, Nov 1, 2025 11:46 am ET2min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Chevron reported Q3 2025 non-GAAP EPS of $1.85, exceeding estimates by $0.14, with $49.73B revenue surpassing forecasts by $2.31B.

- Despite 26.5% EPS decline and $3.61B net income drop, disciplined cost controls generated $7B adjusted free cash flow to fund $6B shareholder returns.

- Production growth guidance maintained at 6-8% (excluding legacy Hess), with $1.5B structural cost savings and frontier exploration expansion planned.

- Post-earnings stock rose 2.6%, supported by $1.71 dividend and $2.6B share repurchases, though oil price volatility and operational risks remain concerns.

Chevron reported Q3 2025 earnings with non-GAAP EPS of $1.85, exceeding estimates by $0.14, while revenue reached $49.73 billion, surpassing forecasts by $2.31 billion. The company maintained production growth guidance at the top end of 6-8% (excluding legacy Hess) and outlined $7 billion in adjusted free cash flow. Despite declining oil prices and operational challenges, Chevron’s disciplined capital allocation and cost controls supported strong cash generation.

Revenue


Chevron’s total revenue declined 2.1% to $49.15 billion in Q3 2025 compared to $50.19 billion in the prior year. Sales and other operating revenues accounted for $48.17 billion, while income from equity affiliates contributed $981 million, and other income added $576 million. Total revenues and other income reached $49.73 billion. The decline was driven by lower liquids realizations and higher depreciation, depletion, and amortization (DD&A).


Earnings/Net Income


Chevron’s EPS fell 26.5% to $1.83 in Q3 2025 from $2.49 in Q3 2024, while net income dropped 19.6% to $3.61 billion from $4.50 billion. Adjusted earnings per share rose to $1.85, outperforming estimates. The decline in net income reflected lower crude prices, operational costs, and a $235 million net loss from the Hess acquisition.


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Post-Earnings Price Action Review


Chevron’s stock edged up 1.28% during the latest trading day, 1.39% for the week, and 2.03% month-to-date. Despite a 26.5% drop in EPS, the earnings beat and robust production growth fueled investor optimism. The post-earnings rally aligned with broader energy sector strength, though analysts noted that near-term volatility could persist amid oil price fluctuations and geopolitical risks.


CEO Commentary


Michael Wirth highlighted record production exceeding 4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, driven by upstream growth and successful Hess integration. He emphasized strong cash generation, with $7 billion in adjusted free cash flow, and noted progress on the Ballymore tieback and ACES hydrogen projects. Wirth acknowledged challenges, including the El Segundo refinery fire, and reiterated a focus on capital efficiency, high-margin assets, and frontier exploration.


Guidance


Chevron expects full-year 2025 production growth at the top end of 6-8% guidance (excluding legacy Hess), with organic CapEx of $17 billion to $17.5 billion. Adjusted free cash flow of $7 billion will support $6 billion in shareholder returns. The company anticipates structural cost savings of $1.5 billion and a shift in exploration toward frontier regions like Namibia and Suriname.


Additional News


Chevron’s stock surged 2.6% following the earnings beat, with a $1.71 quarterly dividend announced. Institutional investors, including Assetmark Inc., increased holdings by 8.4% in Q2 2025, while insiders sold 378,978 shares over three months. The company also announced a $1 billion loan repayment and $2.6 billion in share repurchases, reinforcing its commitment to shareholder returns.



Article Polishing


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