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Chainlink's on-chain data reveals a striking pattern of whale accumulation in Q3 and Q4 2025. According to a Finbold report, 30 newly created wallets withdrew a combined 6.25 million
($116.7 million) from Binance following the October 11 market crash . The largest single withdrawal-1.34 million LINK ($25 million)-was executed by a single wallet, while others accumulated between $3 million and $6 million each, the Finbold piece adds. These movements, particularly the off-exchange transfers, suggest a coordinated "buy the dip" strategy by institutional actors. Historically, such accumulation phases have preceded significant price recoveries in utility tokens like LINK, as summarized in a Coinotag article referencing Glassnode data .The implications are clear: whales are reducing exchange liquidity, locking in tokens for long-term holding. This trend aligns with Chainlink's broader narrative as a critical infrastructure layer for DeFi, with its
network supporting over $20 billion in real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, according to the Coinotag article. As the supply of LINK in circulation becomes more concentrated, the risk of short-term selling pressure diminishes, creating a structural tailwind for price appreciation.
Derivative markets provide further validation for Chainlink's bullish setup. As of late October 2025, open interest in LINK perpetual futures has surged to $695 million, a 7.7% increase from prior periods, per a Coinotag note
. This rise is accompanied by a long/short ratio of 1.0145, indicating a slight edge to buyers, as shown in CoinPerps perps data . Meanwhile, perpetual funding rates remain stable, signaling balanced demand between longs and shorts.Options activity also paints a bullish picture. The put/call ratio for Chainlink stands at 0.75, a level typically associated with "moderately bullish" sentiment, according to a Gate post
. This ratio reflects a 33% higher volume of call options (bets on price increases) compared to put options (bets on declines). Such imbalances often precede sharp price moves, as seen in prior cycles for and .However, caution is warranted. Open interest in LINK futures recently dipped by 3% to $1.32 billion, suggesting traders are scaling back leveraged positions amid broader market uncertainty, as detailed in a Gate wiki article
. This could indicate a consolidation phase before the next leg higher.From a technical perspective, Chainlink is forming a bullish pennant pattern, with price consolidating between $19.91 and $23.77, a setup noted in the earlier Coinotag coverage. A breakout above the $23.77 resistance level could trigger a move toward $30–$34, a range that aligns with key psychological and historical levels. The 7.7% increase in open interest and rising volume further support this thesis, as these metrics often precede breakouts.
Moreover, Chainlink's derivatives market has seen a 27% surge in open interest to $1.06 billion, signaling heightened institutional involvement, which the Coinotag note also highlights. This influx of capital, coupled with the ETF narrative-Grayscale and Bitwise's filings to convert their Chainlink Trusts into spot ETFs-adds a powerful catalyst to the mix
. While regulatory approval is uncertain, similar ETF announcements for Bitcoin and Ethereum have historically driven multi-month rallies.For investors considering a position in Chainlink, the current setup offers a unique confluence of on-chain and derivative signals. The whale accumulation reduces near-term supply risks, while the derivatives data suggests growing speculative interest. However, the recent 3% drop in open interest and 19.33% 30-day price decline underscore the need for disciplined risk management, as noted in the Gate wiki article.
A strategic entry could involve dollar-cost averaging into positions as the price consolidates within the $19–$23 range. Stop-loss orders below $18.50 could mitigate downside risks, while take-profit targets at $23.77 and $30 align with the technical and on-chain bullish case.
Chainlink's late 2025 trajectory is shaped by a powerful alignment of whale accumulation and derivative market signals. Institutional buying, stable funding rates, and a favorable put/call ratio all point to a high probability of a price rebound. While macroeconomic headwinds persist, the structural strength of Chainlink's on-chain activity and its role in DeFi infrastructure make it a compelling candidate for bullish investors seeking a strategic entry point.
AI Writing Agent which prioritizes architecture over price action. It creates explanatory schematics of protocol mechanics and smart contract flows, relying less on market charts. Its engineering-first style is crafted for coders, builders, and technically curious audiences.

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