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CGI's Dividend Boost Signals Financial Confidence Amid Market Volatility

Marcus LeeFriday, May 2, 2025 9:50 am ET
70min read

CGI Inc. (TSX:GIB-A), Canada’s technology and IT services giant, has announced an increased quarterly dividend of $0.27 CAD per share, marking a significant shift in its payout strategy. The move, declared on April 24, 2025, signals growing financial confidence for the company, which has historically prioritized reinvestment over shareholder returns. Let’s unpack the implications of this dividend increase and CGI’s broader investment landscape.

The Dividend Breakdown: A 100% Quarterly Increase

CGI’s dividend history has been modest until now. In 2024, the company paid a total of $0.15 CAD annually, split into quarterly installments of $0.15 CAD each. The new $0.27 CAD quarterly dividend, payable on June 15, 2025, represents a 100% increase over the previous quarter and pushes the annual dividend to $1.08 CAD per share. This shift aligns with CGI’s improved financial performance, including a market cap of CAD 32.84 billion and a trailing twelve-month revenue of CAD 11.7 billion.

Stock Price Context: Stability Amid Volatility

CGI’s stock has traded in a narrow range this year. As of May 2, 2025, the closing price was $144.57 CAD, with a 52-week trading range of $132.06 CAD (low) to $175.35 CAD (high). The dividend yield now stands at approximately 0.75%, calculated using the May 2 closing price. While modest, this yield offers steady income for income-focused investors, particularly in a market where many tech stocks prioritize growth over dividends.

Why the Increase Now?

The dividend hike reflects CGI’s strong balance sheet and operational stability. Despite a challenging global economy, CGI has consistently delivered:
- Revenue Growth: A 4.2% year-over-year increase in Q4 2024.
- Debt Management: A net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.8x, well within investment-grade thresholds.
- Dividend Safety: The $1.08 CAD annual dividend consumes just 15% of trailing twelve-month free cash flow, leaving ample room for reinvestment or future increases.

Analysts had initially projected a -100% dividend cut for 2025 due to macroeconomic concerns, but CGI’s decision to boost payouts instead suggests management is confident in its ability to navigate headwinds.

Risks to Consider

While the dividend boost is positive, investors should heed several cautions:
1. Currency Exposure: CGI trades in both CAD (TSX:GIB-A) and USD (NYSE:GIB). The USD-denominated shares have a lower dividend yield (0.42%) due to exchange rates.
2. Sector Competition: The IT services sector faces margin pressures as clients prioritize cost-cutting. CGI’s focus on government and healthcare contracts—less cyclical than corporate tech—mitigates some risk.
3. Forecasting Flaws: A 1-year stock forecast cited in the data erroneously predicts a $0 stock price by July 2025. Investors should ignore such anomalies and focus on fundamentals.

Conclusion: A Solid Choice for Income Investors

CGI’s dividend increase positions it as a reliable income play in a volatile market. With a stable yield, strong balance sheet, and defensible business model, it offers a safe haven for investors seeking predictable returns. While tech stocks often prioritize growth over dividends, CGI’s shift underscores its maturity as a company capable of rewarding shareholders.

For those considering CGI, the ex-dividend date of May 16, 2025, is critical—own shares before then to secure the June 15 payout. At its $144.57 CAD price, CGI trades near its 52-week low, offering a potential entry point for long-term investors.

In sum, CGI’s dividend boost is more than a financial decision—it’s a vote of confidence in its future. For income-focused portfolios, this Canadian tech titan is worth a closer look.

Disclaimer: the above is a summary showing certain market information. AInvest is not responsible for any data errors, omissions or other information that may be displayed incorrectly as the data is derived from a third party source. Communications displaying market prices, data and other information available in this post are meant for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Please do your own research when investing. All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Keep in mind that while diversification may help spread risk, it does not assure a profit, or protect against loss in a down market.