CFTC gold speculative net positions in USD: Actual 187.5K, previous 187.9K
As of June 14, 2025, the CFTC reported that gold speculative net positions in USD have decreased slightly, standing at 187.5K, down from the previous reading of 187.9K. This reduction in net positions indicates a slight decrease in speculative interest in gold futures contracts.
The decrease in speculative interest in gold futures contracts may be influenced by several factors, including market sentiment, geopolitical risks, and central bank policies. For instance, the recent surge in gold prices, driven by factors such as financial market volatility, mounting fiscal deficits, and rising trade tensions, may have led to a temporary increase in speculative interest [3]. However, the subsequent decrease in net positions suggests that some market participants may have taken profits or adjusted their positions in response to changing market conditions.
Additionally, the recent increase in gold prices has highlighted its role as a potential safe-haven asset and a key component of central bank reserves. According to a report from the European Central Bank, gold is now the second-largest central bank reserve asset, behind only US dollars [3]. This increased importance of gold in central bank reserves may influence investor sentiment and speculative interest in gold futures contracts.
In the context of the proposed Bitcoin strategic reserve by the US government, the reduction in gold speculative net positions may also reflect a shift in market focus towards alternative assets. Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis from Wyoming has proposed a bill (BITCOIN Act) to expand the US government's Bitcoin strategic reserve by purchasing 1 million bitcoins, which would account for nearly 5% of the circulating tokens [1][2]. The bill aims to fill the reserve without increasing the federal government deficit by selling part of the Federal Reserve's gold reserves.
While the likelihood of the US establishing a Bitcoin strategic reserve is currently estimated at 31% by the Polymarket prediction platform, the reduction in gold speculative net positions suggests that some market participants may be positioning themselves for a potential shift in the government's reserve strategy. However, it is essential to note that the actual implementation of the Bitcoin strategic reserve plan remains uncertain, and market participants should remain vigilant for further developments.
References:
[1] https://www.moomoo.com/news/post/15318150/record-tr4cking-news-israel-launches-attack-on-iran-s-nuclear-facilities
[2] https://www.moomoo.com/news/post/47026782/record-tr4cking-news-tesla-quantum-computing-gitlab-gamestop-chewy-cleveland-cliffs-sailpoint-biggest
[3] https://www.etf.com/sections/features/gld-surges-gold-becomes-no-2-global-reserve-asset
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