CF Industries Shares Fall 1.33% as BofA Downgrade Weighs on 424th-Ranked Stock

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Market Brief
Thursday, Aug 14, 2025 6:56 pm ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- CF Industries fell 1.33% on August 14 after Bank of America downgraded it to 'Underperform' due to nitrogen fertilizer oversupply risks.

- The stock ranked 424th in market activity with $230M volume, while 20 brokers maintain a 'Hold' consensus and $96.01 average price target.

- Analysts cited NEOM projects and potential Chinese urea exports as key factors likely to suppress fertilizer prices for years.

- A volume-based trading strategy backtest showed $10,720 profit since 2022, with steady growth despite market volatility.

CF Industries (CF) fell 1.33% on August 14, with a trading volume of $0.23 billion, a 34.12% decline from the previous day, ranking 424th in market activity. The stock faced renewed pressure after

Securities downgraded its rating to 'Underperform', citing oversupply risks in the nitrogen fertilizer sector. Analyst Matthew DeYoe highlighted projects like NEOM and potential increases in Chinese urea exports as key factors expected to suppress prices over the next few years.

Despite the downgrade, CF maintains a 'Hold' consensus among 20 brokerage firms, reflecting mixed sentiment. The average price target from 17 analysts stands at $96.01, implying a 13.35% upside from current levels. GuruFocus estimates a GF Value of $87.98, suggesting a modest 3.87% growth potential based on historical multiples and projected business performance.

A backtest of a strategy purchasing the top 500 stocks by daily trading volume and holding them for one day from 2022 to present showed moderate returns. Total profit reached $10,720 as of the latest data, with steady growth punctuated by occasional market volatility.

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