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Key Dividend Metrics:
On the ex-dividend date, CPF's stock will trade without the value of the dividend, typically resulting in a price drop equivalent to the dividend amount. The drop is expected to be approximately $0.28, or about 0.5–0.7% of the stock price, depending on the day's trading dynamics. For long-term investors, this is a routine event with limited lasting impact. However, it may create short-term volatility that affects trading strategies around the ex-date.
A backtest of CPF’s dividend behavior over the past 12 dividend events reveals a pattern of swift and predictable recovery. On average, the stock price rebounds from the ex-dividend drop within 2.55 days, with a 92% probability of full recovery within 15 days. This high recovery rate reflects the market’s strong confidence in CPF’s fundamentals and its ability to maintain consistent earnings and profitability.
The backtest considered a buy-and-hold strategy with dividend reinvestment, analyzing returns, drawdowns, and relative performance against the S&P 500. The results reaffirmed the attractiveness of holding
through the ex-dividend date, as the dividend impact is absorbed quickly and cleanly.CPF’s ability to sustain its $0.28 dividend per quarter is underpinned by strong operational performance. Its net interest income of $155.96 million and noninterest income of $36.10 million collectively contribute to a total revenue of $192.06 million. With earnings per share of $1.55 for the period, the dividend reflects a payout ratio of about 72% of EPS, indicating a sustainable and conservative approach to shareholder returns.
On a macro level, CPF's performance is supported by favorable conditions in the banking sector, including rising interest rates and disciplined loan growth. With a well-capitalized balance sheet and a strong provision for credit losses ($9.01 million), the firm is well-positioned to continue rewarding shareholders through dividends while maintaining financial flexibility.
Short-Term Investors: Traders may consider adjusting their positions around the ex-dividend date to mitigate the price drop, particularly if using algorithms or high-frequency trading strategies. However, given the swift recovery pattern, most short-term strategies are likely to benefit from holding through the ex-date.
Long-Term Investors: The high probability of price recovery and CPF’s consistent payout history make it an attractive option for investors seeking reliable income. Reinvesting the dividend can enhance compounding returns over time, especially in conjunction with the firm’s earnings growth trajectory.
Central Pacific Financial’s $0.28 dividend on the November 28, 2025 ex-dividend date is a reaffirmation of the company’s strong financial position and dividend discipline. Given the predictable post-ex date recovery and solid fundamentals, investors can confidently hold through the date to capture the dividend without incurring significant price erosion. Investors should keep an eye on CPF’s next earnings announcement for further insights into its growth trajectory and potential for future dividends.

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