Celestia/Tether (TIAUSDT) Market Overview

• TIAUSDT rose 14.3% in 24 hours, driven by a late-session breakout above 1.400.
• Price found support at 1.360–1.370 and resistance at 1.400–1.410, with key 15-min bullish engulfing patterns.
• Volume and turnover surged during the final hours, confirming strength but suggesting near-term consolidation risk.
• RSI entered overbought territory, MACD crossed above zero, and Bollinger Bands showed moderate expansion.
• Fibonacci retracements indicate potential pullback targets at 1.390 and 1.375 if bullish momentum fades.

At 12:00 ET on October 1, 2025, Celestia/Tether (TIAUSDT) opened at 1.342 and closed at 1.431, with a high of 1.438 and a low of 1.340. Total volume for the 24-hour period was approximately 1.55 million TIA, while notional turnover was $2.16 million. A late-day rally, driven by strong volume and a bullish engulfing pattern, propelled price above key resistance near 1.400, setting a new high for the period.

The price structure shows a clear shift in sentiment. Support levels have stabilized between 1.360 and 1.370, where the pair found a floor several times in the early session. Resistance levels at 1.400 and 1.410 were key psychological thresholds. A long green candle at 1.410–1.420 on the 15-minute chart confirmed the breakout. Notable patterns include a bullish engulfing at 1.377 and a strong reversal at 1.438, which could signal continuation or consolidation.

MACD crossed into positive territory with strong bullish divergence, while RSI reached overbought levels above 70, suggesting caution for further short-term gains. Bollinger Bands expanded in the final four hours, indicating heightened volatility. Price remained above the upper band briefly, highlighting aggressive buying interest.

Fibonacci retracement levels from the key swing low at 1.340 and high at 1.438 suggest 1.415 (38.2%) as a near-term resistance and 1.390 (61.8%) as a potential support zone. These levels could serve as pivot points for traders assessing the strength of the current move.

Backtest Hypothesis
The provided backtesting strategy involves a breakout-based system using 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart. Long entries are triggered when price closes above both the 20 and 50-period MA with a bullish engulfing pattern confirmation. Stops are placed below the recent swing low, with targets at the next Fibonacci level. Given today’s price action, the strategy would have entered long positions around 1.377 with a stop at 1.365 and a target at 1.415. The system appears to align with today’s momentum, suggesting it could have yielded a favorable risk/reward outcome.