CBRE GROUP concluded its most recent session with a significant 7.84% gain, closing at $158.05 on elevated volume. This strong bullish momentum provides context for the following technical assessment.
Candlestick Theory The sharp 7.84% surge on July 29 formed a decisive bullish candle with a wide range ($152.73-$161.03), signaling strong buying pressure after a period of consolidation. Key support now resides near the July 25 low of $143.91, aligning with the pre-breakout congestion zone. Resistance is clearly established at the July 29 high of $161.03. A sustained breach above this level could trigger further upside, while failure might see retracement toward the $150-$152 psychological support area.
Moving Average Theory The 50-day MA (short-term trend proxy) recently crossed above both the 100-day and 200-day MAs, confirming a bullish shift in momentum. Price is currently trading significantly above all three averages, reinforcing a strong uptrend. The 200-day MA (long-term trend) near $128 provides major structural support. The orderly alignment of averages (50 > 100 > 200) supports a sustained bullish bias barring a breakdown below $150.
MACD & KDJ Indicators The MACD histogram shows accelerating upward momentum, with the MACD line firmly above its signal line. Concurrently, KDJ metrics are hovering near overbought territory (K: ~85, D: ~80, J: ~95), suggesting near-term exhaustion risk after the sharp rally. However, no bearish crossovers are yet evident. While this momentum confirms strength, traders should monitor for potential overbought consolidation or pullback signals if KDJ lines cross downward from extreme levels.
Bollinger Bands Price is pressing against the upper
Band ($160-162), indicating stretched near-term conditions. Recent band expansion reflects increasing volatility driven by the strong upside move. While this suggests continuation potential, a move back inside the bands or a band contraction could signal consolidation. The middle band (20-period MA, ~$147) offers dynamic support.
Volume-Price Relationship The July 29 rally occurred on approximately 140% of the 20-day average volume, providing strong validation for the bullish breakout. Notably, preceding up days (July 25, July 23) also saw above-average volume, confirming accumulation. Down days (July 28) featured relatively lower volume, suggesting limited conviction in pullbacks. This confluence supports the sustainability of the current uptrend provided volume persists.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) The 14-day RSI is currently near 75, entering overbought territory (>70). Historically, CBRE’s RSI has touched 80+ during strong trends without immediate reversal, but current levels warrant caution. An RSI persistently above 70 may signal overheated conditions, increasing the likelihood of a consolidation phase or minor pullback to relieve pressure. However, in strong trends, overbought RSI can persist.
Fibonacci Retracement Using the June low of ~$112 (approximate low from June data) and the July 29 high of $161.03, key Fibonacci levels emerge. The 23.6% retracement ($152.50) aligns closely with the July 29 low and pre-breakout resistance, offering major support. The 38.2% level ($148.60) coincides with the June-July consolidation high and the 20-day MA. A pullback holding $152.50 would suggest ongoing strength, while a breach opens risk toward $148.60. Upside targets beyond $161.03 include the 127.2% extension (~$167).
Confluence & Divergence Strong confluence exists: Support near $152.50 combines the 23.6% Fibonacci level, the prior consolidation resistance, and the psychological $150 support. The bullish MACD, volume confirmation, and MA alignment reinforce the breakout. A minor divergence exists in the overbought KDJ and elevated RSI readings against price strength, suggesting potential near-term exhaustion. Key Watch: Holding $152.50 on any pullback coupled with stabilizing momentum oscillators would support continuation upside. A breakdown below $148.60 would warrant reassessment of bullish bias.
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