CBO: Poorest Americans Face 3.9% Income Loss, Wealthiest Gain 2.3%

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Thursday, Jun 12, 2025 1:03 pm ET1min read

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has released a new analysis indicating that the massive tax and spending bill passed by the U.S. House of Representatives will financially burden the poorest Americans while benefiting higher-income households.

The analysis, published on Thursday, reveals that the lowest-income 10% of families will lose approximately 1,600 dollars annually, equivalent to a 3.9% reduction in income. This decrease is primarily due to cuts in the Medicaid and Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP).

In contrast, the highest-income 10% of families will see an increase of about 12,000 dollars per year, representing a 2.3% increase in income. According to the nonpartisan CBO report, this increase is mainly due to reduced tax liabilities.

Families with middle-income levels are expected to see an increase in resources ranging from 500 to 1,000 dollars, equivalent to a 0.5% to 0.8% increase in income.

These projections are based on the tax reform bill version passed by House Republicans last month, which includes most of Donald Trump's economic agenda. The bill extends the tax cuts implemented during Trump's first term, set to expire at the end of the year, and introduces new tax incentives. Additionally, the bill implements reforms to the Medicaid and

programs to reduce expenditures.

The analysis underscores the potential impact of the tax reform bill on different income groups. The poorest Americans are likely to face financial challenges due to reduced access to essential programs like Medicaid and SNAP. Conversely, higher-income households will benefit from significant tax reductions, further widening the income gap.

The bill's extension of previous tax cuts and introduction of new incentives aim to stimulate economic growth. However, the proposed reforms to Medicaid and SNAP raise concerns about the potential negative impact on vulnerable populations. The CBO's analysis highlights the need for a balanced approach that considers the financial well-being of all Americans, particularly those in lower-income brackets.

The tax reform bill, if passed, will have far-reaching implications for the U.S. economy and society. It is crucial for policymakers to carefully consider the potential consequences and ensure that the benefits of tax reform are distributed equitably across all income levels. The CBO's analysis provides valuable insights into the potential outcomes and serves as a reminder of the importance of thoughtful and inclusive policymaking.

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