Why We're Cautious About Texas Instruments' (NASDAQ:TXN) Upcoming Dividend

As investors, we're always on the lookout for companies that offer a combination of growth and income. Texas Instruments (NASDAQ: TXN) has long been a favorite among dividend investors, with a history of consistent payout increases and a current yield of 2.68%. However, we're wary of buying TXN for its upcoming dividend due to several reasons.

Firstly, Texas Instruments' revenue has been declining. In the third quarter of 2024, the company reported a revenue decrease of 8.41% year-over-year. This decline can be attributed to market conditions, intense competition, and operational inefficiencies. The semiconductor industry is known for its cyclical nature, and Texas Instruments is not immune to these fluctuations. The company's recent financial data indicates a concerning trend of declining revenue and net income, which could signal underlying issues affecting its market share and profitability.

Secondly, Texas Instruments' dividend payout ratio is relatively high compared to its historical averages and industry peers. As of September 20, 2024, the company's forward payout ratio is 85.95%. This suggests that Texas Instruments is distributing a significant portion of its earnings as dividends, which may limit its ability to reinvest in growth opportunities. While the company has a strong track record of dividend increases, the high payout ratio may indicate that there is less room for future dividend growth.

Thirdly, Texas Instruments' dividend safety rating is A+, which is a positive sign. However, the company's recent financial performance and the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry may pose risks to its dividend sustainability in the long term. Investors should monitor the company's earnings growth and payout ratio to assess the sustainability and growth potential of its dividend.

In conclusion, while Texas Instruments has a strong history of dividend increases and a current yield of 2.68%, we're cautious about the company's upcoming dividend due to its recent revenue decline, high payout ratio, and the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry. Investors should carefully consider these factors before making an investment decision.