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Caterpillar (CAT) fell 2.33% on Aug. 15 with a trading volume of $1.27 billion, ranking 58th among U.S. stocks by liquidity. The decline followed mixed market sentiment toward heavy machinery demand amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty. Analysts noted that while the company's core construction and energy segments remain resilient, near-term order backlogs showed signs of softening in key markets such as Latin America and Southeast Asia.
Trading dynamics were influenced by broader sector rotation as investors reassessed exposure to cyclical stocks. Caterpillar's valuation multiples, currently trading at 12.8x forward earnings, remain below historical averages, reflecting cautious positioning ahead of Q3 earnings season. The stock's performance diverged from peers in the S&P 500 Industrials sector, which saw modest gains as risk appetite improved mid-afternoon.
The strategy of buying the top 500 stocks by daily trading volume and holding them for 1 day from 2022 to now delivered moderate returns. The 1-day return was 0.98% and the total return was 37.61%. While the strategy showed stability, the returns were relatively modest, indicating a conservative performance compared to potential high-risk, high-reward strategies.

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