Carrier Global Outlook - Weak Technicals and Mixed Analyst Signals

1. Market Snapshot

Headline Takeaway: Carrier Global (CARR) faces a weak technical outlook, with bearish indicators dominating and a current price decline of -4.53%.

2. News Highlights

• Quanex Building Products Announces Dividend - While not directly impacting CARR, this move highlights a broader trend of companies returning value to shareholders, which could indirectly influence market sentiment for industrial players like Carrier Global.
• Zara's Ortega Buys Barcelona Office Building - This high-profile acquisition suggests a continued focus on physical infrastructure across industries, potentially benefiting companies in the building and construction materials sector.
• Telcos Build NVIDIA-Powered AI Infrastructure - While not a direct competitor, the growth of AI infrastructure investment may signal renewed interest in high-tech manufacturing and logistics, potentially influencing broader market trends.

3. Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Analysts are divided in their views of Carrier Global. The simple average rating is 3.75, while the performance-weighted rating is 2.32. This indicates a relatively neutral to bearish market outlook, and the recent price decline aligns with the pessimistic sentiment.

Key Fundamental Values and Internal Scores

• Gross Profit Margin (GPM): 28.36% - Internal diagnostic score: 2.30
• Inventory Turnover Ratio: 3.13 - Internal diagnostic score: 2.00
• PE Ratio: 100.15 - Internal diagnostic score: 3.00
• Cost of Sales Ratio: 71.64% - Internal diagnostic score: 2.00
• Total Profit YoY Growth: 67.69% - Internal diagnostic score: 1.00
• Current Ratio: 1.17 - Internal diagnostic score: 2.00
• EBIT / Total Operating Revenue: 13.53% - Internal diagnostic score: 1.00
• Net Cash Flow / Total Liabilities: 4.82% - Internal diagnostic score: 1.00

4. Money-Flow Trends

Big-money investors are showing more optimism than retail traders. The overall inflow ratio is 0.50, with large and extra-large inflow ratios at 0.51 and 0.50 respectively. This suggests that institutional investors are more bullish on the stock, despite a negative medium and small flow trend. The fund flow score of 7.76 (out of 10) classifies it as "good," pointing to potential support from larger players.

5. Key Technical Signals

Technically, the outlook for Carrier Global is weak. The technical score is 2.69 (on a 0-10 scale), and bearish signals are clearly dominant.

Indicator Scores and Performance

• WR Oversold - Internal diagnostic score: 3.33
• MACD Death Cross - Internal diagnostic score: 1.48
• Bearish Engulfing - Internal diagnostic score: 2.30
• MACD Golden Cross - Internal diagnostic score: 3.64

Recent Chart Patterns

• 2025-09-05: MACD Golden Cross
• 2025-08-28: Bearish Engulfing
• 2025-09-03: WR Oversold and MACD Death Cross

These signals reinforce the bearish tilt and suggest that the stock may continue to underperform in the near term.

6. Conclusion

Given the weak technical indicators, mixed analyst views, and a falling price, investors may want to consider waiting for a pull-back or clearer signs of stabilization before engaging with Carrier Global. The low technical score and bearish momentum suggest caution, especially for those holding the stock.