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Carnival Corp. shares rose 0.46% on Sept. 26, with a trading volume of $690 million ranking 124th among U.S. stocks. The cruise operator's performance followed a strategic review of its fleet modernization plans, which highlighted potential cost efficiencies through vessel retrofitting rather than full replacements. Analysts noted the move could stabilize short-term cash flow amid fluctuating travel demand patterns observed in Q3 earnings calls.
Internal restructuring efforts gained visibility as the company announced a phased approach to cabin capacity adjustments across its six core brands. This includes deferred expansions at Princess Cruises and reduced turnaround times at Holland America, aligning with recent operational metrics showing 87% of 2024 itineraries sold through mid-August. The strategy aims to balance seasonal demand surges without overcapacity risks, particularly in Asia-Pacific markets experiencing slower recovery rates compared to North America.
Environmental compliance costs remained a focal point, with the company disclosing $125 million allocated for scrubber installations across 32 ships by 2026. This aligns with IMO 2020 sulfur regulations but contrasts with competitors' recent announcements of accelerated hybrid propulsion trials. The capital expenditure plan represents 15% of 2024-2025 CAPEX guidance, maintaining leverage ratios within targeted ranges despite rising bond yields in the 5.2-5.5% range for its 2030 debt maturities.
To run this back-test accurately I need a few extra details: 1. Universe • Should the stock pool include all U.S. common shares (NASDAQ, NYSE & AMEX) or a narrower list (e.g., S&P 1500, Russell 3000)? 2. Trade execution prices • Buy at today’s close and sell at tomorrow’s close (standard 1-day “close-to-close” trade)? • Or buy at tomorrow’s open and sell at tomorrow’s close (“overnight gap” style)? 3. Position sizing • Equal-weight each of the 500 names every day? • Or weight by dollar volume / market-cap? 4. Transaction costs & slippage • Ignore them, or apply a flat rate (e.g., 2 bp per side) to make the results more realistic? Once I have these choices I can generate the signal file and run the back-test for 2022-01-03 through today.

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