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On August 8, 2025,
(CAH) saw a 2.61% rise in share price despite a 48.19% drop in trading volume to $0.26 billion, ranking 382nd in market activity. The stock’s performance follows ongoing strategic developments ahead of its Q4 2025 earnings report scheduled for August 12. Analysts highlight sustained momentum in the Pharmaceutical segment, driven by strong branded drug volumes and specialty physician practices, alongside recovery in the Medical segment supported by improved supply chain execution. The expansion of its Outcomes platform to over 40,000 pharmacies is expected to boost incremental revenues, while the Nuclear and Precision Health Solutions business benefits from resilient demand.Recent infrastructure investments, including a new at-Home Solutions distribution center in Fort Worth, Texas, and a facility in Boylston, Massachusetts, underscore the company’s focus on enhancing supply chain resilience. These projects, equipped with automation technologies, aim to strengthen distribution capabilities and meet growing customer needs. Despite these positives, macroeconomic uncertainties and potential tariff impacts remain risks to Q4 revenue growth. The company maintains its full-year adjusted EPS guidance of $7.20–$7.35, with Q4 estimates suggesting a 10.3% year-over-year EPS increase to $2.03 and 1.3% revenue growth to $60.67 billion.
Valuation metrics show
trading at a forward P/E of 16.5x, a premium to the industry average of 15.9x. While outperforming peers like Becton Dickinson and , it remains cheaper than . Year-to-date, CAH’s shares have gained 29.7%, outperforming both the S&P 500 and the Zacks Medical sector. Cost discipline under the Medical Improvement Plan and share repurchases are expected to support margin stability, though SG&A normalization and IT investments may moderate gains.A backtest of a strategy purchasing top 500 high-volume stocks and holding for one day showed a 166.71% return from 2022 to the present, outperforming the benchmark by 137.53%. This highlights liquidity concentration’s role in short-term performance, particularly in volatile markets, though the approach is less suited for long-term investing.
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