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Cardano's latest price was $0.9405, up 1.673% in the last 24 hours. The cryptocurrency has recently shown strong technical signals, with analysts highlighting its breakout above a long-term descending resistance channel. This breakout was noted by crypto analyst Ali Martinez, who pointed out that ADA's rally followed a rebound from early August levels. The
12-hour chart indicated that the asset was trading near a significant resistance level, with projections suggesting that ADA could first target a higher resistance level before advancing further. The Fibonacci extension levels and the channel pattern both supported this scenario, with sustained buying pressure expected to keep the move intact in the coming weeks.On the daily chart, ADA has formed a bullish cup-and-handle pattern against
. The price recently broke above a horizontal resistance zone, with strong upward momentum supporting the breakout. Chart projections from the pattern pointed toward a target range, with analysts marking this as the green target zone while indicating stop-loss levels for risk control. The technical setup suggested that if buying pressure continued, ADA could maintain its upward trajectory toward the higher end of the range.The bullish sentiment around ADA has fueled speculation on social media, with crypto commentator Mintern asking what would happen if ADA reached significant levels this market cycle. Analyst @agentic_t responded by cautioning against focusing solely on price targets, emphasizing Cardano’s fundamentals, including its blockchain technology and increasing adoption. While acknowledging the potential for a large total crypto market cap, they stressed the importance of long-term value creation over short-term speculation, describing
as having revolutionary potential but urging the community to concentrate on sustainable growth.Crypto investment data analytics platform Alphractal presented its latest Cardano-focused on-chain risk analysis, highlighting an unwavering commitment amongst ADA token holders to the preservation of their ADA holdings despite market uncertainty. Alphractal disclosed that ADA investors, particularly long-term holders, have left their tokens untouched, with data revealing limited token distribution recorded thus far. This position suggested unshaken trust in the Cardano network and a bullish expectation for larger price movement. Short-term holders, on the other hand, displayed a more neutral outlook, although a mild accumulation trend was recently recorded. During the 2021 marking cycle, these short-term holders participated in aggressive sales following ADA’s price pump; however, this pattern has yet to be observed in the 2025 market cycle, further indicating a decline in selling pressure.
A further analysis conducted by Alphractal revealed the present state of the Cardano network. A key metric known as the market temperature, a composite indicator, was achieved from the combination of the MVRV Z-Score, the Realized Value to Transaction (RVT), and the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL). Notably, the MVRV Z, RVT, and NUPL are each up by 40%, 30% and 30% respectively. Higher values signal a hot market, suggesting that an asset is overbought, while lower values signal a cold market, indicating that an asset is oversold. While higher values hint at a potential top, low values point to a possible accumulation opportunity. Another notable metric analyzed was the adjusted Sharpe ratio, a metric designed to measure risk-adjusted return through the division of annualized return and annualized volatility over a 364-day rolling window. Per Alphractal’s chart, ADA’s adjusted Sharpe Ratio sits above 2, and according to historically observed patterns, a move toward 2 is often preceded by a parabolic price rally.
Cardano has recently entered what analysts believe could be a powerful bullish phase. According to market expert Clifton Fx, the ADA token has broken out from a multi-month bull flag pattern on the three-day chart. This pattern often comes before a strong continuation in price, and current patterns in the charts show that the cryptocurrency could be headed towards significant gains in the next few weeks. Long-term holders have strengthened Cardano’s bullish outlook, with data from TapTools showing that a large amount of ADA has remained unmoved for over a year. This indicates that selling pressure is in decline, especially as the market enters what some are calling “altcoin season.” The steadiness of the long-term holders indicates that they have a high level of conviction, and historically, similar patterns have come before strong rallies in the altcoin market, especially when combined with a rise in retail interest.
Retail traders are once again turning their attention to Cardano. According to data from Google Trends, searches for “Cardano” have reached their highest point in five months. On the other hand, interest in the term “altcoin” is now at its highest since 2021. This increase in search activity shows that buying pressure is now strong from smaller investors. Historically, spikes in retail interest have always come alongside strong capital flows from
into altcoins. This was clear during the ICO boom and the DeFi and NFT surge between 2018 and 2021. The current trend could create the same kind of price movement for ADA. Some traders, like popular analyst Trader_Jibon, believe that ADA could reclaim its November peak in the near term. More than this, the mid-2022 high is another major target. If ADA can break through these resistance levels, it could further validate the bullish forecast. The breakout from the bull flag pattern has placed Cardano on many traders’ watchlists. Technical traders are now watching the $1 mark, which is considered a psychological level that could trigger a market rally for the cryptocurrency.While many indicators are pointing towards a strong rally, analysts are warning that predictions like these are never certain. Factors like macroeconomic conditions, regulatory decisions and general market sentiment will likely push or pull ADA’s actual performance. Overall, in the short term, the major factors to watch include Cardano’s ability to hold above a significant level. Others include the continuation of retail interest and how strong long-term holders can be in terms of conviction. If these conditions continue to be favourable, the predicted rally could become a reality very soon. For now, Cardano is still one of the top altcoins to watch as technical factors continue to align. In all, whether it reaches the upper end of analysts’ predictions will depend on how the market reacts over the next few weeks.
The Cardano (ADA) price pushed past key resistance in recent trading, moving toward a significant mark after Grayscale filed for a spot ADA ETF. The move came alongside a sharp increase in large transactions and a surge in derivatives activity, signaling elevated market interest. After trading sideways for about five months, ADA cleared a resistance level on its third attempt. Social volume, tracking the number of ADA mentions across platforms, rose by more than 20,000 at press time, reflecting heightened trader engagement. Technical data at press time showed that momentum indicators had not yet peaked, leaving room for additional spot buying before the next supply zone. The ETF application from Grayscale coincided with this shift, aligning both sentiment and on-chain trends. Large transaction activity increased significantly. Trades above a certain amount jumped from 86 to over 1,000 within a week. Analysts said such accumulation by large holders could reduce available liquidity, potentially amplifying short-term price swings. The ADA price gained over the past week at press time, outpacing several other major Layer-1 tokens. The ADA/BTC ratio also reached its highest point in five months, highlighting relative strength against BTC during the move. Daily gains matched strong monthly returns, pointing to a shift in capital flows toward ADA.
On a quarterly basis, ADA advanced around at press time. This trailed ETH’s gain but surpassed SOL’s performance by more than 50%. Analysts viewed this as an indication of continued competitive strength among top Layer-1 networks. Despite this, the $1 level remained a major area of supply. On-chain liquidity maps showed heavy resting orders near that mark. Derivatives data suggested that the next breakout attempt could trigger fast moves. Open interest in ADA futures rose by more than 25% in the past 24 hours, reaching about $1.88 Billion. This increase was over five times greater than the growth rate of the largest altcoin during the same period. The data pointed to a rally fueled by leverage rather than solely by spot market demand. While whale inflows and social activity stayed elevated, large transaction counts eased slightly from the week’s peak, falling at press time. This decline suggested some profit-taking among large holders. Market structure showed two concentrated liquidity clusters below current prices, which could act as magnets in a pullback. Such zones sometimes trigger rapid price moves if hit during a high-leverage environment. The combination of elevated open interest, recent profit-taking, and dense liquidity levels indicated that a direct move through $1 might face challenges. Analysts noted that the third attempt to break this level in recent months could still succeed if spot demand accelerates and whale activity remains strong. At press time, the ADA price was approaching the $1 mark, supported by recent ETF-related news, increased whale transactions, and rising social engagement. However, market positioning suggested that volatility risk remained high in the near term.
While most cryptocurrencies saw steep declines amid a liquidation wave, Cardano (ADA) stood out as the only top-50 asset in the green. Despite a dip after topping for the first time since March, ADA quickly recovered, hovering between and signaling strong buyer support on dips. The resilience came even as Bitc. Cardano's blockchain has demonstrated notable growth in core network activity recently, with key on-chain metrics including transactions and active addresses increasing by 30-40%. This significant surge reflects strengthening conviction among ADA holders and suggests expanding utility across the ecosystem. Such fundamental growth often signals broader adoption and developer engagement on the platform, highlighting the network's ongoing operational health.
From a technical perspective, analysts observe that Cardano has broken out of a significant descending channel pattern that had constrained its market activity since December 2024. This technical development marks a potential shift in momentum after several months of consolidation, indicating the possibility of renewed bullish sentiment surrounding the project independent of broader market movements.
Development activity within the Cardano ecosystem continues to progress, as evidenced by ongoing smart contract deployment and infrastructure enhancements. The network has maintained its reputation for rigorous protocol development, with recent security audits, including one achieving a 95.0 trust score from CertiK, reinforcing its commitment to security and reliability. Concurrently, growth in decentralized finance applications on Cardano contributes to the expanding use cases for ADA beyond mere speculation, with the DeFi sector showing increased transaction volume and protocol interaction.

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