Cardano Price May Drop 7.26% by July 2025, Analysts Predict

Cardano's price trajectory has been a subject of intense speculation, with analysts and traders alike offering varied predictions for the cryptocurrency's future. Recent price prediction models suggest that ADA could experience a significant decrease, with some forecasts indicating a potential drop of 7.26% by July 13, 2025. This bearish outlook is supported by the weekly chart, which has shown a series of lower highs and lower lows since December. The price has retested the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.535, and if this level is flipped to resistance, the price could fall by another 30%-40%.

However, there are also bullish sentiments surrounding ADA. Some analysts predict that if the current upward trend continues, ADA could test the $0.80–$1.00 range later in the cycle. This optimism is fueled by the potential for ADA to surge by 40% to the double-bottom's neckline at $0.8630, followed by a target at $1.2153. Additionally, some estimates have ADA reaching $2–$5 in the next bull cycle, with die-hard bulls expecting it to go towards $10+ if institutions come in.

According to Wedson, ADA appears to be moving through a distribution phase, which might lead to a near-term dip—but he views this as a setup for strategic accumulation. “This zone could turn into a buying opportunity within days,” he said, referring to what his firm calls the “Alpha Price” level. While ADA may not see an immediate rally, Wedson expects the real momentum to build toward the end of October, predicting a possible surge above $3. He noted that such a move could challenge existing chart patterns but pointed to encouraging on-chain metrics as support.

The broader market, he added, hinges on Bitcoin’s behavior. A confirmed move above $119,300 could ignite a fresh wave of bullish momentum across crypto assets. Alphractal’s current ADA position sits at an average entry price of $0.2883, with Wedson expressing confidence in the long-term strategy behind it.

The short-term outlook for ADA appears more promising. The 1-day chart indicates a bullish structure, with the price forming higher lows and higher highs over the past two weeks. The RSI crossing above the neutral-50 mark and the OBV creeping higher suggest a momentum swing from bearish to bullish. This could see ADA rally to the $0.68 supply zone, which is a crucial resistance level. However, on-chain metrics paint a different picture. Development activity has been trending lower since February, and the 180-day circulation and daily active addresses have been lukewarm, indicating reduced on-chain activity.

Despite the mixed signals, traders and investors can expect a move to $0.66-$0.68, especially if the Bitcoin trajectory remains bullish. A breakout past the $0.68 resistance would be difficult, and traders and investors could look to stay sidelined until ADA manages to break out beyond that supply zone. The next big catalyst for ADA's surge could be institutional interest, which has been growing. However, until organic demand makes its way into the market, a Cardano recovery would be difficult.