The crypto market is poised for a potential rebound as the Federal Reserve signals dovish policy shifts, with
(ADA) emerging as a key beneficiary. Following a volatile weekend that saw nearly $19 billion in crypto positions liquidated due to Trump's 100% tariff announcement on Chinese imports[1], the market has stabilized. Alternative cryptocurrencies like and (DOGE) have surged nearly 10% in 24 hours as traders capitalize on discounted valuations[1]. (BTC) and (ETH) also posted gains, with climbing 8.3% to $4,135[1].
Technical analysts highlight bullish patterns for ADA, including a 30% price target if the Fed cuts rates in September. Mohamed El Erian, a top economist, cited weak August jobs data-showing just 22,000 new jobs-as a catalyst for a 25 basis point rate cut[2]. Additionally, the approval of a spot ADA ETF by the SEC in October could further fuel ADA's rally[2]. Dan Gambardello, a crypto analyst, noted that ADA's current consolidation pattern resembles pre-breakout phases, with a potential $1.50 target if the coin escapes its trading range[3].
The Fed's decision on September 17 will be pivotal. While markets price in a 94.2% chance of a 25 basis point cut, dovish commentary could trigger broader crypto rallies[3]. Meanwhile, U.S.-China tensions easing-exemplified by China's clarification on rare-earth export controls and Trump's conciliatory remarks-have calmed trade war fears, bolstering risk assets[1]. Analyst Jeff Mei of BTSE emphasized that if the U.S.-China spat doesn't escalate, the market could push toward all-time highs[1].
Macro factors, including the October CPI report, will shape the Fed's trajectory. Forecasts indicate inflation remained steady at 2.6% year-over-year in October[6], with core inflation holding at 3.3%[6]. However, analysts caution that Republican policy proposals post-election, such as tariffs and pro-growth fiscal measures, could reintroduce inflationary pressures[6]. For ADA, the interplay of rate cuts and risk appetite will determine whether it reaches $1.07 (based on Murrey Math Lines) or $1.50 (per Gambardello's wedge pattern)[2][3].
Cardano's fundamentals, including governance upgrades like an on-chain constitution and annual spending plan, strengthen its long-term appeal[8]. While short-term volatility persists-evidenced by ADA testing the $0.80 support level-technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggest bullish momentum[7]. With the Fed's dovish pivot and potential ETF-driven inflows, ADA's path to $1.00 appears viable, contingent on sustained buying pressure above key resistance levels[8].








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