Cardano ETF Approval Odds Surge to 90% by 2025

The likelihood of a Cardano ETF approval by 2025 has surged to 90%, according to analysts. This significant increase in odds reflects growing optimism within the crypto sector, driven by improved communication between industry stakeholders and regulatory bodies. The prediction platform Polymarket indicates a 76% likelihood of such an approval, with over $374,000 wagered on the outcome. This optimism is further bolstered by analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart, who forecast a 90% or higher chance of approval for Cardano and other altcoins.

The potential approval of a Cardano ETF could have profound implications for the token's price. Much like Bitcoin, a spot ETF approval could attract billions in new capital, enhancing ADA’s liquidity, visibility, and institutional utility. This influx of capital could lead to a significant price uptick, making ADA an attractive investment option for institutional investors. The SEC is expected to make a decision on Cardano ETFs by the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, adding to the anticipation within the market.

Despite the bullish narrative, ADA’s price has experienced notable volatility in recent weeks. Currently trading at $0.5603, the token has seen a 0.7% increase in the past day, reducing its monthly loss to 25.4%. This volatility underscores the speculative nature of the crypto market, where price movements can be influenced by a variety of factors, including regulatory developments and market sentiment.

Market analysts offer mixed projections on ADA’s next move. According to analyst Smith, ADA is approaching a key trendline resistance, mirroring a previous chart structure that resulted in a 240% breakout. If history repeats itself, ADA could rally toward the $2.60 mark. This bullish outlook suggests that investors should “stack accordingly,” signaling a potential breakout on the horizon. However, a more cautious perspective is offered by another analyst, Manofbitcoin, who notes that ADA has broken below micro support levels, potentially setting the stage for another downward movement. He also points out that a bullish recovery remains possible if ADA can hold above the critical $0.512 support line. This support level could determine whether the token rallies or sinks further, adding to the uncertainty surrounding its future price movements.