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Cardano (ADA) has entered a bearish phase following the formation of a death cross on the four-hour chart, a technical pattern indicating a short-term moving average falling below a long-term moving average. This development coincided with a sharp price decline, as
dropped from $0.888 to $0.788 in Monday’s session and has since fallen to a low of $0.754 on Thursday, marking a significant drop from its September 19 high of $0.937 [1]. The broader crypto market has mirrored this downturn, with over $855 million in leveraged positions liquidated in the past 24 hours, per CoinGlass data. Long positions accounted for $721.54 million of the losses, while short positions lost $133.22 million, underscoring the volatility gripping the sector [2].Technical analysis highlights key price levels for ADA. Resistance is currently at $0.86, with a secondary target at $0.94 if recovery attempts gain traction. On the downside, support is critical at $0.735, a level that could determine the cryptocurrency’s next directional move [2]. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has risen to a 7-week high above 50.0, signaling growing investor confidence, but sustained price action below $0.70 could invalidate recent gains and reinforce bearish sentiment [3].
The liquidation wave reflects broader macroeconomic pressures. U.S. core inflation data showed a 0.3% monthly increase, keeping the annual rate at 2.7%, which has fueled expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in the coming months [1]. These conditions have exacerbated risk-asset selling, with
falling below $100,000 and triggering an additional $855 million in liquidations across the crypto market [5].Amid the short-term volatility, Cardano’s long-term trajectory remains tied to its Ouroboros consensus upgrades. The upcoming Ouroboros Leios redesign, starting with Leios Lite, aims to boost throughput by 30–55 times, enhancing scalability and transaction capacity. Input Output Global (IOG) plans to deploy Leios in iterations, with the initial phase expected to deliver significant performance improvements while balancing ecosystem compatibility . Founder Charles Hoskinson emphasized that these upgrades address scalability challenges and position
for interoperability through projects like Midnight and partnerchains [1].Future iterations, including Ouroboros Omega, promise adaptive security and efficient storage solutions. However, the roadmap includes trade-offs, such as increased resource requirements and potential latency, which IOG acknowledges as necessary compromises within the security model . The recent public submission of a Cardano Improvement Proposal (CIP) for Leios marks a pivotal step in transitioning from research to implementation, with community feedback expected to shape final specifications .
While the death cross and liquidation frenzy highlight near-term bearish pressure, the technical upgrades underscore Cardano’s focus on long-term resilience. The network’s ability to balance throughput gains with decentralization principles will be critical in maintaining its competitive edge. As the ecosystem navigates these challenges, the interplay between macroeconomic factors and protocol innovation will likely define ADA’s path forward.
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