Cardano (ADA) Faces 5% Crash, Analyst Predicts 20% Rally

Cardano (ADA) is currently exhibiting mixed signals, with its market structure suggesting an imminent short-term price crash. Despite bearish indicators pointing to a potential decline, a crypto analyst has revealed that the broader trend remains intact, with technical patterns supporting the possibility of a rally toward the $0.9 mark.

TradingView Crypto analyst SiDec has issued a bearish price forecast for Cardano, predicting a significant correction toward the $0.75 area in the coming days. This outlook is based on a detailed analysis using Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci tools, and critical price action zones. According to SiDec, ADA’s price has been consolidating after completing a 5-wave impulse move, signaling the end of its upward momentum. Following this strong impulse rally, the cryptocurrency is now exhibiting a classic Elliott Wave behavior, transitioning into a textbook ABC corrective pattern.

The cryptocurrency first experienced a pull-back, labeled as Wave A on the price chart, followed by a temporary recovery in Wave B. SiDec expects Wave C to complete the retracement pattern, with ADA’s final downward move nearing its end. Currently, technical indicators and price action point to the $0.705 region as a high-probability long entry zone. The analyst also clarifies where ADA might find solid support during this corrective phase using Fibonacci Retracement zones.

The 50% retracement level of the entire bullish 5-wave impulse is positioned approximately at $0.7534 — a critical price point that coincides closely with ADA’s previous price swing at $0.746. This former resistance level has yet to be revisited, making it a natural support candidate. The analysis further identifies a 1:1 ABC extension for the anticipated correction in ADA, placing Wave C’s potential crash target around $0.7492. This also creates a tight cluster of technical indicators in the range of roughly $0.75, indicating a strong support zone.

Further supporting this level, the daily 21 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $0.7455, while the daily 21 Simple Moving Average (SMA) is slightly lower at $0.7347. SiDec has also identified the Point of Control (POC), which marks the price with the highest volume, near $0.7318. The analyst further highlights that Cardano’s anchored Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) resides within the $0.75 support zone. At the same time, the Pitchfork tool’s golden pocket aligns dynamically as support around the same area.

While SiDec anticipates a potential crash to new lows for ADA in the near term, the analyst’s chart also shows a green zone, with a projected bullish bounce drawn. Following its Wave C crash, Cardano is expected to rebound and approach the $0.92 level. The analyst has advised caution around this area, as $0.92 acts as a significant resistance zone and coincides with a prior liquidity zone that could trigger rejection or profit-taking. SiDec has emphasized that the risk-to-reward ratio around this area will only become favorable once there is clear confirmation, such as an SFP, a bearish engulfing candle, or visible divergence. Overall, if the $0.75 support zone holds, Cardano, which is currently trading at $0.78, could be positioned for a strong recovery toward $0.92 and beyond.