Calculating The Fair Value Of Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTWO)

Clyde MorganSunday, Feb 2, 2025 6:33 am ET
2min read


Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTWO) is a leading video game publisher and developer, known for its iconic franchises such as Grand Theft Auto (GTA) and Red Dead Redemption (RDR). As an investor, understanding the fair value of TTWO is crucial for making informed decisions about whether to buy, sell, or hold the stock. In this article, we will explore key financial metrics, valuation methods, and the role of TTWO's intellectual property rights in determining its fair value.

Key Financial Metrics and Valuation Methods

1. Revenue Growth: TTWO has shown significant revenue growth in recent years. In the fiscal year 2023, its revenue increased by 52.64% compared to the previous year. This growth is driven by strong performance in its key franchises, such as GTA and RDR, as well as its hyper-casual mobile portfolio. (Source: TTWO Financial Statements)
2. Earnings per Share (EPS) Growth: While TTWO's EPS growth has been volatile, with a -29.67% decrease in the last reported year, the company's EPS growth is expected to rebound in the coming years. (Source: TTWO Financial Statements)
3. Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: TTWO's P/E ratio is -8.4x, which is significantly lower than its historical average and industry peers. This suggests that TTWO is undervalued compared to its peers. (Source: TTWO Valuation Metrics)
4. Price-to-Sales (P/S) Ratio: TTWO's P/S ratio is 6.0x, which is higher than its historical average and industry peers. This indicates that TTWO's stock price may be relatively expensive compared to its peers. (Source: TTWO Valuation Metrics)
5. Enterprise Value (EV) / Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) Ratio: TTWO's EV/EBITDA ratio is 92.95x, which is higher than its historical average and industry peers. This suggests that TTWO's stock price may be relatively expensive compared to its peers. (Source: TTWO Financial Ratio History)
6. Free Cash Flow (FCF) Yield: TTWO's FCF yield is -1.72%, which is lower than its historical average and industry peers. This indicates that TTWO's stock price may be relatively expensive compared to its peers. (Source: TTWO Dividends & Yields)
7. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets: The average analyst rating for TTWO is "Strong Buy," with an average price target of $204.45, which is a 10.21% increase from the current price. This suggests that analysts believe TTWO is likely to perform very well in the near future. (Source: TTWO Analyst Ratings & Price Targets)

The Role of Intellectual Property Rights

TTWO's intellectual property rights, particularly its iconic franchises like GTA and RDR, play a significant role in determining its fair value. These properties are valuable assets that generate recurring revenue through ongoing consumer engagement, including virtual currency, add-on content, in-game purchases, and in-game advertising. (Source: TTWO Financial Statements)

Calculating TTWO's Fair Value

To calculate TTWO's fair value, investors should consider the following steps:

1. Analyze TTWO's financial statements, focusing on key metrics such as revenue growth, EPS growth, P/E ratio, P/S ratio, EV/EBITDA ratio, and FCF yield.
2. Evaluate TTWO's analyst ratings and price targets to gauge the market's sentiment and expectations for the company's future performance.
3. Assess the role of TTWO's intellectual property rights in driving recurring revenue and long-term growth potential.
4. Consider the potential impact of regulatory changes, such as the Digital Markets Act in the EU, on TTWO's growth opportunities.
5. Weigh the risks and challenges associated with TTWO's business model, such as its dependence on advertising and search revenue, and potential changes in its search partnership with Google.

By following these steps and considering the provided data, investors can make a more informed decision about the fair value of Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTWO).



In conclusion, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTWO) is a leading video game publisher and developer with a strong track record of revenue growth and a portfolio of iconic franchises. By analyzing key financial metrics, valuation methods, and the role of intellectual property rights, investors can make a more informed decision about the fair value of TTWO. While TTWO's stock price may be relatively expensive compared to its peers based on certain valuation metrics, its strong revenue growth, positive analyst ratings, and long-term growth potential suggest that TTWO is well-positioned to capitalize on its market potential.

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