Candlestick Theory Cadence Design exhibits a decisive bullish pattern, with the most recent session forming a large white candle closing near the day's high of $330.09 after testing support at $321.38. This follows seven consecutive bullish candles, confirming strong upward momentum. Key resistance emerges at the psychological $330 level, coinciding with the year-to-date high. Support is established at $321.38 (prior day's high) and reinforced by the eight-day rising trendline. The absence of long upper wicks in recent candles suggests minimal selling pressure near highs, though the extended rally increases near-term exhaustion risks.
Moving Average Theory All critical moving averages demonstrate robust bullish alignment. The 50-day MA ($301.80) crossed above the 100-day MA ($291.20) in mid-June, while both remain above the ascending 200-day MA ($281.40). The current price ($326.81) trades 8.3% above the 50-day MA, indicating strong short-term momentum. Notably, the 200-day MA's upward slope since January 2025 confirms the primary bull trend. The convergence of MAs between $291-$302 provides a major support zone, with the stacked alignment (50>100>200) signaling sustained upward trajectory absent decisive breaks below $300.
MACD & KDJ Indicators The MACD (12,26,9) shows a strengthening bullish configuration, with the MACD line at +8.5 expanding above its signal line (+6.2) and both trending upward from positive territory. Histogram bars are increasing, supporting continuation momentum. Meanwhile, the KDJ oscillator registers K=86/D=82, entering overbought territory (K>80) for the fourth consecutive day. While this highlights stretched conditions, the maintained bullish crossover (K above D since June 25) tempers immediate reversal concerns. Both indicators align in signaling strong upward impetus, though KDJ’s extremity warrants caution for pullbacks.
Bollinger Bands Volatility expansion is evident as price breaches the upper Bollinger Band ($320.80, 20-day basis, 2σ) with consecutive closes above it.
has increased 18% over eight sessions, confirming the strong trend acceleration. The current position in the upper 10% of the band indicates extreme bullish momentum. Historically, such deviations preceded brief consolidations (e.g., May 29 reversal after similar extension), suggesting near-term mean reversion toward the $318 midline is plausible, though the band’s widening orientation favors pullback-as-buy opportunities rather than trend reversal.
Volume-Price Relationship Volume surged to 2.27 million shares during the latest 5.1% rally—35% above the 30-day average—providing robust confirmation of the breakout. This follows a sequence of higher-volume up days (June 26-27 averaged 2.23M shares vs. 1.75M in prior consolidation). The volume-weighted average price (VWAP) for the eight-day rally is $311.25, now serving as dynamic support. The absence of volume spikes during minor pullbacks (e.g., July 1-2) indicates limited distribution, reinforcing the uptrend’s sustainability.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) The 14-day RSI reads 76, firmly in overbought territory and the highest reading since May 28’s reversal. While this signals technically stretched conditions, bullish momentum divergence is absent: RSI’s higher highs align with price’s consecutive peaks. Historically, RSI has sustained >70 levels for 5-7 sessions during strong trends (e.g., April 2025), though reversals occurred when accompanied by volume exhaustion. Current readings suggest limited immediate upside but don’t yet indicate reversal without bearish confirmation.
Fibonacci Retracement Applying Fibonacci to the primary 2025 uptrend (swing low $232.88 on April 4 – high $330.09 on July 3), key retracement levels are $299.10 (23.6%), $287.50 (38.2%), and $281.50 (50%). The 23.6% level ($299.10) aligns with the 50-day MA and volume support cluster, creating a high-probability bounce zone. Notably, the current rally encountered minimal resistance near the 127.2% extension level ($318.50), now converted to support. Confluence between the 23.6% Fib, 50-day MA, and VWAP at $299-$302 strengthens this as a critical bull/bear threshold.
Confluence & Divergence Synthesis Strong confluence exists in the $299-$302 support zone, backed by moving averages, volume analysis, and Fibonacci retracements. The eight-day rally exhibits aligned bullish signals across MACD, volume, and moving averages, though overbought warnings from RSI and KDJ suggest near-term exhaustion. A minor divergence exists between Bollinger Band expansion (volatility signal) and KDJ’s overbought reading (momentum signal), implying potential consolidation before further upside. The primary trend remains decisively bullish barring a sustained break below the $299 Fib-MA pivot.
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