Bunge Global Surges 4.45% on $280M Volume Ranked 383rd as Analysts Hike Targets and Institutional Buyers Pile In

Bunge Global (BG) surged 4.45% on August 22, with a trading volume of $280 million, ranking 383rd in market activity. Recent developments include a $1.31 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) in Q2 2025, exceeding estimates, driven by improved soy crush margins amid favorable biofuel policies in the U.S. and Brazil. The company completed its Viterra acquisition and sold its U.S. corn milling business, bolstering investor confidence. Analysts anticipate a 15.7% decline in adjusted EPS for fiscal 2025, though BG has outperformed estimates in three of the last four quarters. Morgan Stanley raised its price target to $83, aligning with a $89.12 average target, implying a potential 17.8% upside.

Despite a 13.4% underperformance against the S&P 500 over the past year, BG has seen a 7.3% year-to-date gain. Institutional activity includes recent purchases by Prudential PLC and Nuveen LLC, while Citigroup and Swiss National Bank trimmed positions. The stock’s “Moderate Buy” consensus rating reflects six “Strong Buy” ratings, with analysts citing strategic operational shifts and margin resilience as key catalysts. However, earnings forecasts remain mixed, highlighting challenges in sustaining profitability amid volatile commodity markets.

The backtested strategy of purchasing the top 500 volume-driven stocks and holding for one day yielded a $2,253.88 profit from December 2022 to August 2025, with a maximum drawdown of -$1,025.71 and a Sharpe ratio of 1.47, underscoring moderate risk-adjusted returns during the period.