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Here’s the takeaway: BRK.B’s options market is pricing in a high-probability bullish scenario, with heavy call buying at key strikes above current levels. Technicals and sentiment align for a potential breakout—but the $500 support level is critical. Let’s break down why this matters for your strategy.
Bullish Imbalance in Calls vs. Cautious PutsThe options chain tells a clear story: traders are betting on a rebound. For Friday expiration, the $510 call (
) and $520 call () dominate open interest, with combined OI of 15,134 contracts. This suggests positioning for a move above $504.46 (30D resistance) and into the upper Bollinger Band at $515.21.But don’t ignore the puts. The $495 put (
) has 6,492 OI, acting as a liquidity magnet if the stock dips below $500. Block trades in September-dated puts (like BRKB20250919P525) show large players hedging long-term risk, but these expire in 3 months—so they’re not immediate pressure points.News: Buffett’s Exit and Alphabet Bet Fuel Diverging NarrativesWarren Buffett’s departure creates uncertainty, but Berkshire’s $4.3B Alphabet bet is a bullish wildcard. The 27% surge in
post-purchase mirrors Buffett’s value-investment DNA, which could indirectly boost BRK.B’s appeal as a "blue-chip safe haven." However, Todd Combs’ exit to JPMorgan and Berkshire’s cash hoard ($341B) signal caution—investors might be hedging against a post-Buffett identity crisis.Actionable Trades for TodayBRK.B sits at a crossroads: technicals and options sentiment favor a bullish breakout, but leadership risks linger. The next 72 hours will test whether $500 holds—a close above $504.46 would validate the call-heavy positioning. For traders, this is a high-conviction setup with clear entry/exit points. Stay nimble: if the stock gaps below $499.65, pivot to the $495 puts for a short-term countermove.

Focus on daily option trades

Dec.19 2025

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