Broadcom Surges 15.53% in Three Days Amid Tech Stock Volatility

Generated by AI AgentMover Tracker
Wednesday, Sep 11, 2024 6:33 pm ET2min read

Broadcom (AVGO) has been on an upward trajectory, experiencing a 6.79% rise recently, and posting a 15.53% gain over the last three days. This surge comes amid a broader trend where tech stocks, including Broadcom, see stock prices decline post-earnings despite posting better-than-expected results and robust guidance.

Foreign analysts have noted that while the market may see a temporary slowdown in the AI sector, now might be the ideal time for long-term investors to invest in Broadcom. The company's stock appears relatively cheap with a forward P/E ratio of around 22, which seems quite affordable for a market leader. Despite a potential short-term growth dip, Broadcom's earnings per share could outperform expectations in the long run, setting the stage for substantial stock appreciation in the coming years.

From a technical standpoint, Broadcom's stock has exhibited strong bullish signals. After hitting a recent high, Broadcom went through a roughly 30% correction. Nevertheless, it remains about 25% below its all-time high. Successful tests of the 200-day moving average have been observed, and various technical indicators, such as the full stochastic and relative strength index (RSI), suggest that its momentum could improve shortly.

Broadcom reported Q3 earnings of $1.24 per share and revenue of $13.07 billion, which were above analyst expectations. Despite this, the AI segment's high expectations led to a minor disappointment, as the company provided a conservative Q4 revenue guidance of $14 billion, slightly below market forecasts. This might indicate a conservative outlook, but Broadcom is likely to exceed these expectations, particularly with the promising long-term growth trajectory in AI and semiconductor markets.

Over the past 20 quarters, Broadcom has missed EPS and sales expectations only once. Currently, market forecasts for its 2025 earnings per share are $6.17. Factoring in a modest outperformance, Broadcom's EPS could range between $6.36 and $6.48, maintaining a P/E ratio below 22. This valuation seems reasonable given Broadcom's significant growth potential in earnings and sales.

Wall Street remains bullish on Broadcom despite recent volatility. Previously, the stock corrected by 25% to 30%, but target prices held steady, reflecting unwavering confidence in the company's potential. The average target price is around $193, indicating nearly a 40% increase from the current levels.

The company's performance across AI and non-AI fields has been encouraging. For Q4, AI revenues are expected to rise by 10% to $3.5 billion, aiding the company's ambitious annual target of $12 billion. This upward revision from earlier expectations fuels optimism for Broadcom's year-end performance and future growth.

In summary, Broadcom presents an intriguing opportunity for investors. Its solid performance and growth potential in both AI and semiconductor sectors, paired with supportive technical indicators, make it a worthy consideration for those looking to invest. However, prospective investors should remain mindful of inherent market risks and manage their portfolios accordingly.

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