Broadcom (AVGO): The Undervalued Giant in the AI Chip Race Against Nvidia (NVDA)

Marcus LeeWednesday, May 21, 2025 8:17 pm ET
33min read

The AI chip revolution is no longer a distant future—it’s here. And as companies like Nvidia (NVDA) dominate headlines for their GPU prowess, a stealthier contender is emerging: Broadcom (AVGO). With its $60B–$90B AI chip revenue potential by 2027, strategic partnerships, and a valuation advantage over its rival, Broadcom is positioning itself as the safer, smarter bet for investors looking to capitalize on the AI boom.

The Market Opportunity: Broadcom’s Dominant Growth Trajectory

Broadcom’s AI revenue surged 220% year-over-year to $12.2 billion in fiscal 2024, a staggering figure that hints at its explosive growth potential. Analysts extrapolate this trajectory, projecting that if Broadcom maintains its ~70% market share of serviceable AI revenue, its AI sales could hit $50 billion by 2027—and potentially exceed $90 billion if market conditions favor its dominance. This growth is fueled by its ASIC (Application-Specific Integrated Circuit) technology, which outperforms GPUs in energy efficiency and scalability—critical advantages in data centers and cloud infrastructure.

Meanwhile, the broader AI chip market is on fire. Gartner predicts global AI semiconductor revenue will hit $119.4 billion by 2027, while IDC estimates the AI server market alone could reach $49.1 billion by the same year. Broadcom’s leadership in networking and software—a $20 billion+ annual business—gives it a diversified revenue base that Nvidia, overly reliant on GPUs, cannot match.

Valuation Edge: Why AVGO is Cheaper—and Safer—Than NVDA

While Nvidia’s stock price has soared on AI hype, its valuation no longer reflects sustainable growth. Broadcom’s forward P/E ratio of 29x is 2% lower than NVDA’s 31x, despite its faster AI revenue growth. This gap widens when considering Broadcom’s diversified cash flows: its networking, software, and enterprise storage segments generate consistent profits, shielding it from AI market volatility.

Investors pay a premium for Nvidia’s GPU-driven innovation, but Broadcom’s ASICs—tailored for AI workloads—offer a more efficient, cost-effective solution. OpenAI’s recent partnership with Broadcom underscores this: the company’s energy-efficient chips are ideal for training large language models, a niche where GPUs struggle with power consumption.

The Risks NVDA Can’t Shake

Nvidia’s reliance on GPUs leaves it exposed to two existential threats: geopolitical headwinds and ASIC competition. U.S. export controls on advanced AI chips have crimped its sales in China, while Broadcom’s ASICs—which are less restricted—gain traction in hyperscale data centers. Meanwhile, the AI market is bifurcating: GPUs still dominate in flexible, research-driven environments, but ASICs rule in high-volume, repeatable tasks like cloud inference—a $30+ billion opportunity by 2027.

Why AVGO is the Safer, Undervalued Play

Broadcom’s combination of rapid AI growth, diversified revenue streams, and superior valuation makes it a compelling buy. Its 2027 revenue target of $90 billion—nearly triple its 2024 tally—is ambitious but achievable, especially as it partners with cloud giants like Microsoft and Amazon to power their AI infrastructure.

In contrast, Nvidia’s sky-high valuation and regulatory risks make it a volatile bet. Broadcom’s lower P/E and proven execution suggest it’s trading at a discount to its true potential.

Conclusion: Time to Shift Your AI Chip Bet to AVGO

The AI chip race isn’t just about innovation—it’s about sustainability. Broadcom’s ASIC-driven strategy, diversified earnings, and valuation edge make it the better long-term investment compared to overhyped rivals. With its 2027 revenue targets within reach and geopolitical risks minimized, AVGO offers a rare blend of growth and safety.

For investors, the message is clear: shift your focus from the flashy GPU leader to the undervalued ASIC giant. The future of AI is in Broadcom’s hands—and your portfolio should reflect that.

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