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Here’s the thing: BRK.B is caught in a tug-of-war between bullish options positioning and cautious institutional moves. The stock’s current price of $507.11 sits just below a 30-day moving average of $492.57, while options data screams of a potential breakout. Let’s break down what’s really happening—and how to position for it.
The Options Playbook: Calls vs. Puts in the $500sThe options chain tells a story of optimism and anxiety. For Friday’s expirations, call open interest spikes at $510 (2,965 contracts) and $520 (2,515), suggesting traders are betting on a rebound above current levels. Meanwhile, puts dominate at $490 (2,871) and $497.5 (2,304), indicating a fear of a pullback to the 200-day moving average (~$496). The put/call ratio of 0.618 leans heavily toward bullish sentiment, but don’t ignore the block trades: $520 puts (BRKB20250919P520) saw 960 contracts traded in two massive blocks, totaling $2.76M. That’s not retail noise—it’s big players hedging a potential dip in late 2025.
What This Means for YouThe call-heavy OI at $510–$520 implies a $5–$10 upside target if BRK.B breaks above its 52-week high of $511.25. But the puts at $490–$497.5 act as a psychological floor. If the stock dips below $506.8 (today’s intraday low), watch for a test of the 30-day support at $488.40. The block trades on $520 puts add a twist: they could trigger a short-term bounce if volatility spikes, but they also signal a bearish undercurrent for longer-term players.
News That Could Tip the ScalesBerkshire’s recent $4B Alphabet stake and $9.7B Occidental acquisition scream “tech and energy bets,” aligning with Warren Buffett’s long-term vision. Yet the Apple and Bank of America divestments hint at a rebalancing act. Combine this with the chairman/CEO role separation, and you’ve got a stock at a crossroads. The market’s reaction? Mixed. While the tech bets justify optimism, the leadership transition adds uncertainty. Retail investors might be bullish on the Alphabet play, but institutional players are hedging—hence those $520 put blocks.
Actionable Trade Ideas: Calls, Puts, and Price LevelsThe next few weeks will test BRK.B’s resolve. A breakout above $511.25 could trigger a rally toward $520, fueled by call OI and Buffett’s tech bets. But a breakdown below $491.18 might send it into the lower Bollinger Band, where the puts at $490–$495 could catch it. The block trades on 2025 puts add a wildcard—don’t be surprised if volatility spikes in September as hedging intensifies.
Bottom line: BRK.B is in a tightrope walk between bullish options positioning and cautious fundamentals. The $510–$520 range is a battleground. Play it smart—use the call spreads for upside, the put spreads for downside, and keep an eye on Buffett’s next move. After all, if he’s betting on Alphabet, the long-term story might still be bullish—even if the short-term ride gets bumpy.

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