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BOJ to Skip Rate Hike in December: Majority of Economists Say

Wesley ParkThursday, Dec 12, 2024 11:18 pm ET
4min read


The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to hold off on raising interest rates in December, according to a majority of economists polled by Reuters. The central bank's cautious approach comes amidst global market volatility and uncertainty surrounding the U.S. economic outlook. This article explores the reasons behind the BOJ's decision and its implications for investors.

The BOJ ended negative interest rates in March and raised its short-term policy target to 0.25% in July. While the central bank has signaled readiness to hike rates again if wages and prices move as projected, it appears to be in no rush to pull the trigger. The yen's rebound has moderated inflationary pressure, and uncertainty surrounding U.S. policies has clouded the economic outlook.



The BOJ's decision to stand pat in December is a strategic move to monitor market moves after the Fed and gauge the impact of its July hike. The central bank will likely wait for more clarity on the U.S. economic outlook and assess the stability of global financial markets before making a decision on further rate adjustments.

The BOJ's cautious approach is a reflection of the delicate balance it faces in weighing domestic economic indicators against global market volatility. A Reuters poll revealed that just over half of economists expect the BOJ to raise interest rates in December, with concerns over global market instability and the U.S. economic outlook influencing the central bank's stance.



The BOJ's decision to skip a rate hike in December is a reminder of the importance of risk management and informed market predictions in investment strategies. While the central bank's cautious approach may be disappointing for investors expecting a rate hike, it is a testament to the BOJ's commitment to maintaining stability and predictability in the Japanese economy.

In conclusion, the BOJ's decision to skip a rate hike in December is a strategic move to monitor market moves and assess the stability of global financial markets. The central bank's cautious approach is a reflection of the delicate balance it faces in weighing domestic economic indicators against global market volatility. Investors should remain vigilant and adapt their investment strategies accordingly, focusing on risk management and informed market predictions.

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