BNB's Potential to Reach $1,250 Amid Trump's Pardon of CZ and U.S. Crypto Policy Shifts

The cryptocurrency market has long been a theater of regulatory tug-of-war, but recent developments under the Trump administration have injected a new dynamic into the narrative. On October 23, 2025, President Donald Trump granted a full pardon to Changpeng "CZ" Zhao, the founder of Binance, marking a pivotal shift in U.S. crypto policy. This move, coupled with broader pro-blockchain initiatives, has reignited optimism for Binance Coin (BNB), with analysts now eyeing a $1,250 price target.

Strategic Regulatory Tailwinds: A New Era for Crypto

The pardon of CZ, who had served a four-month prison sentence and paid a $4.3 billion settlement for anti-money laundering violations, signals a dramatic departure from the Biden administration's aggressive stance, according to a TRM Labs report. Trump's administration has framed this as part of a broader effort to "end the war on crypto," emphasizing streamlined regulations and reduced SEC scrutiny, per a Coinotag report. This shift aligns with Trump's broader agenda, including proposals for a national Bitcoin reserve and incentives for blockchain innovation, as noted in Coinotag coverage.

While the pardon does not erase Binance's civil penalties or ongoing compliance challenges, it removes a critical overhang for the exchange. For BNB, this regulatory clarity has immediate implications. The token surged 7–8% post-announcement, reflecting investor relief and renewed confidence in a more accommodating regulatory environment, according to an FXStreet report.

Market Sentiment: From Legal Uncertainty to Bullish Momentum

The market's reaction to the pardon underscores the power of regulatory tailwinds. BNB's price spike to $1,121 within days of the announcement, as reported in a Blockchain.News piece, was fueled by three key factors:
1. Reduced Legal Risk: The pardon eliminates the threat of further criminal charges against CZ, stabilizing Binance's leadership and operations.
2. Institutional Interest: Firms like Applied DNA Sciences have acquired $5.3 million in BNB, signaling growing corporate adoption, according to a Cryptopolitan report.
3. Retail Accessibility: Listings on platforms like Coinbase and Robinhood have expanded BNB's reach to millions of retail investors, per CoinDCX analysis.

Technical Analysis: Is $1,250 a Realistic Target?

Analysts argue that BNB's technical indicators support a $1,250 price target. The token has broken through the $1,000 barrier, with aligned exponential moving averages (EMAs) suggesting continued upward momentum, according to a WalletInvestor forecast. Key resistance levels at $1,200 and $1,300 are now in focus. If BNB holds above $1,180, it could test these levels, with a potential short-term target of $1,462, notes a Benzinga article.

However, caution is warranted. A breakdown below $1,200 could trigger a correction toward $932–$1,050, according to an InsideBitcoins report. The token's success will depend on sustained regulatory clarity and broader market conditions, including Bitcoin's performance.

The Road Ahead: Policy, Politics, and Profit

While the pardon is a win for Binance, it has not silenced critics. Some argue the decision raises questions about political favoritism, particularly given Binance's ties to Trump-linked ventures like World Liberty Financial, as highlighted in Coinotag coverage. Yet, for investors, the immediate takeaway is clear: a more pro-crypto U.S. regulatory environment is emerging, and BNB is positioned to benefit.

The $1,250 target hinges on two factors:
1. Continued Policy Support: Trump's proposed national Bitcoin reserve and regulatory simplification could further boost BNB's utility and demand.
2. Global Adoption: Binance's expansion into markets like Singapore and its partnerships with sovereign-backed entities (e.g., Vertex Ventures) provide long-term growth catalysts, according to a Seeking Alpha article.

Conclusion

BNB's journey to $1,250 is not without risks, but the regulatory tailwinds under Trump have created a favorable backdrop. The pardon of CZ has removed a major overhang, while broader pro-crypto policies are fostering innovation and investment. For investors, the key is to balance optimism with prudence-monitoring both technical levels and the evolving regulatory landscape.