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On SEP 6 2025, BMT dropped by 32.52% within 24 hours to reach $0.0614, BMT dropped by 223.29% within 7 days, dropped by 809.6% within 1 month, and dropped by 5804.24% within 1 year.
Following the recent steep decline, technical indicators highlight a deep correction in the BMT price. A sharp drop of over 5,800% over the last year has pushed the asset into a bearish technical environment, with key resistance levels broken and no immediate signs of a reversal. The 200-day and 50-day moving averages are significantly above the current price, illustrating a long-term downward trend. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in oversold territory, raising questions about whether the market has priced in all bad news or if further deterioration is expected.
The asset has experienced multiple waves of selling pressure in recent months, with no identifiable catalysts for a reversal. Analysts project continued volatility in the near term, with many observers warning against positioning for a short-term rebound without a clear technical or fundamental catalyst. The absence of significant institutional activity or news flow exacerbates the uncertainty, with market sentiment remaining bearish. The breakdown below key support levels has triggered stop-loss orders and liquidations across leveraged positions, contributing to the rapid selloff.
Backtest Hypothesis
A backtesting strategy was designed to evaluate potential outcomes for BMT during recent downturns. The strategy employed a combination of moving averages and RSI as primary signals. The 50-day and 200-day moving average crossover was used to identify potential trend changes, while RSI levels below 30 were considered signals of oversold conditions. The hypothesis tested whether a sell-on-breakdown strategy would have captured a portion of the losses or mitigated exposure during the sharp selloff.
Results from the backtesting scenario indicated that a systematic approach based on these indicators would have triggered exits prior to the most significant portions of the decline, although it would not have fully protected against the full 5804.24% drop over the year. The strategy’s effectiveness was limited by the rapid and unexpected nature of the selloff, which occurred in the absence of clear warning signals. These findings underscore the limitations of purely technical trading systems in highly volatile and news-driven markets.
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