Blackstone Outlook - Technical Neutrality and Mixed Analyst Sentiment

1. Market Snapshot: "Hold for Clarity in a Volatile Window"

Blackstone (BX) is caught in a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish technical signals, with its current price up 8.40% but lacking a clear trend. Our internal diagnostic score for technical analysis is 5.32, signaling technical neutrality. Investors are advised to watch for clearer directional cues before committing.

2. News Highlights

• Trump Proposes Ending Quarterly Earnings Reports: With news from The New York Times and CNBC, President Donald Trump is pushing to end quarterly financial reporting. This could reduce short-term volatility for stocks like Blackstone, which rely on quarterly performance metrics.
• Framework Deal on TikTok: A US-China agreement has been reached regarding TikTok. While the direct impact on Blackstone is unclear, this news adds to market optimism, potentially supporting risk-on assets in the near term.
• Evercore ISI Group Maintains Strong Buy: The firm, led by Glenn Schorr (historical win rate of 75.0%), has reinforced its "Buy" rating on Blackstone, citing strong fundamentals and long-term potential.

3. Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Analyst consensus remains mixed. The simple average rating score is 3.55 and the performance-weighted rating is 2.92, reflecting divergent expectations. Only one firm, Evercore ISI Group, is classified as "high quality" with a 75.0% historical win rate. Others, including Barclays and Citigroup, have notably lower track records.

These mixed signals clash with Blackstone’s price trend of an 8.40% recent rise. Analysts appear to be underestimating the stock's short-term momentum.

Key Fundamental Factors and Internal Model Scores

• Revenue-MV: -56.35% (Internal diagnostic score: 3.0)
• Operating cycle: 332.81 days (Internal diagnostic score: 2.0)
• Price-to-Sales (PS): 13.48 (Internal diagnostic score: 1.0)
• Days sales outstanding: 117.93 days (Internal diagnostic score: 2.0)
• Non-current assets / Total assets: 52.91% (Internal diagnostic score: 1.0)
• Cash-UP: 0.68 (Internal diagnostic score: 1.0)
• Fixed assets turnover ratio: 1,145.70 (Internal diagnostic score: 3.0)
• GPOA: 10.01% (Internal diagnostic score: 2.0)
• Current assets / Total assets: 47.48% (Internal diagnostic score: 1.0)
• Cash-MV: 0.36 (Internal diagnostic score: 0.0)

Despite some mixed fundamental signals, Blackstone has shown resilience in cash flow and asset turnover, suggesting the company may be navigating its challenges well.

4. Money-Flow Trends

Big-money flows remain bearish while small retail investors are cautiously optimistic. The fund-flow score is 7.95, indicating strong inflows for small and medium investors but outflows from large and extra-large funds:

• Small inflow ratio: 50.10% (Positive trend)
• Medium inflow ratio: 50.15% (Positive trend)
• Large inflow ratio: 48.60% (Negative trend)
• Extra-large inflow ratio: 49.64% (Negative trend)

With an overall inflow ratio of 49.39%, the stock remains in a state of flux, with institutional investors pulling back and smaller investors maintaining interest.

5. Key Technical Signals

Blackstone's technical signals are mixed, with 2 bullish and 3 bearish indicators over the last five days, and 1 neutral signal. The technical score is 5.32, indicating a wait-and-see approach.

Strongest Technical Indicators

• MACD Golden Cross: 8.27 (Internal diagnostic score) — a strong bullish signal indicating a possible trend reversal.
• Shooting Star: 8.03 (Internal diagnostic score) — another strong bullish candlestick pattern suggesting a potential near-term reversal.

Weaker Indicators

• WR Overbought: 3.89 (Internal diagnostic score) — neutral to slightly bearish.
• RSI Overbought: 2.32 (Internal diagnostic score) — indicating overbought conditions.
• Bearish Engulfing: 3.65 (Internal diagnostic score) — another bearish candlestick pattern.

Recent Chart Patterns

• 2025-09-09: Shooting Star — a strong bullish signal.
• 2025-09-10: WR Overbought + MACD Golden Cross — mixed signals.
• 2025-09-11: WR Overbought + RSI Overbought + Marubozu White — neutral to slightly bearish.

These mixed signals reinforce the need for caution and close monitoring.

6. Conclusion: A Stock at a Crossroads

Blackstone is in a technical limbo, with conflicting signals from bullish and bearish indicators, and mixed analyst sentiment. The fund-flow score is strong at 7.95, indicating retail and small investor optimism, but institutional money is pulling back. The technical score of 5.32 and the fundamental score of 4.04 suggest the stock is at a turning point.

Actionable takeaway: Consider waiting for a clearer breakout signal, either through a decisive move above key resistance levels or confirmation from a positive earnings report. Until then, watch for a pullback or consolidation before committing to a long-term position.