BlackRock (BLK) shares declined 5.88% in the latest session to close at $1046.16, forming a long-upper-shadow candlestick on elevated volume that signals significant resistance near the $1076 level. This sharp pullback after the recent peak at $1112.13 warrants multi-indicator technical assessment.
Candlestick Theory The prominent upper shadow on July 15 reflects strong rejection of prices above $1076, establishing immediate resistance. The bearish candle completed near the session low ($1033.77), creating a critical support level that coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. This pattern emerges after a gravestone doji on July 14, collectively indicating exhaustion following the rally.
Moving Average Theory The 50-day moving average ($1048 estimated) converged with price action during the sell-off, turning from support to resistance. The 100-day MA ($1000) and 200-day MA ($970) maintain upward slopes, preserving the longer-term bullish structure. However, the close below the 50-day MA for the first time since mid-May suggests near-term trend deterioration.
MACD & KDJ Indicators MACD histogram flipped negative with a bearish crossover, confirming accelerating downward momentum. The KDJ oscillator's %K (near 45) declined from overbought territory but shows no oversold signal yet. This divergence between bearish MACD and non-oversold KDJ may indicate unfinished corrective pressure.
Bollinger Bands The price plunged through the lower band during the session before closing within the bands, reflecting extreme volatility expansion. Bandwidth spiked to multi-week highs, often preceding directional resolutions. The rejection from the upper band on July 14 initiated this volatility surge.
Volume-Price Relationship Volume surged to 1.94 million shares during the sell-off – nearly triple the 30-day average and the highest since April. This high-volume breakdown validates the bearish move and suggests institutional participation in the decline. Weak rallies preceding the drop lacked volume confirmation, indicating poor upside conviction.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) The 14-day RSI plunged from 65 to approximately 45, its steepest single-day decline this year. While RSI avoids oversold territory (<30), the magnitude of the drop suggests significant momentum damage. The indicator's warning potential is amplified given it occurred after peaking near 70.
Fibonacci Retracement Applying Fib levels to the swing low of $993 (June 24) and high of $1112 (July 14) shows the correction reaching the 61.8% retracement at $1038. The session low of $1033.77 slightly breached this key level before closing above it. Confluence exists between this Fib level and July 15's price low, making $1038-$1033 a critical support zone. Should this break, the 78.6% retracement near $1018 becomes the next downside target.
Confluence emerges at $1038 through Fibonacci support, the July 15 price low, and the psychological $1000 threshold. However, the MACD's bearish crossover, volume-validated breakdown, and RSI momentum collapse collectively suggest high near-term downside risk. A decisive close below $1038 could trigger accelerated selling toward $1018, while recovery above the 50-day MA ($1048) is needed to stabilize the technical structure. Divergences remain limited since KDJ and RSI show no oversold reversal signals to counter the bearish momentum cues.
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