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Arthur Hayes, the co-founder of BitMEX, has proposed a significant shift in the US Treasury's approach to managing its growing debt challenges. In a recent post, Hayes argued that the US government's increasing reliance on bond sales could destabilize financial markets unless new strategies are implemented. He highlighted that the Treasury is struggling to find enough buyers for its debt without pushing interest rates above 5%.
Hayes claimed that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is expected to issue over $5 trillion in bonds to cover new deficits and refinance existing ones. To avoid sparking panic in debt markets, alternative sources of liquidity are needed. Hayes suggests that stablecoins issued by traditional banks could unlock up to $6.8 trillion in Treasury bill purchasing power. These funds, currently sitting dormant in the banking system, could be recycled into the economy by tokenizing deposits and routing them into US debt instruments.
Hayes explained that by issuing a stablecoin, banks could unlock significant purchasing power. He stated, “I believe the reason why the [Bessent] is so pumped up about all things ‘stablecoin’ is that by issuing a stablecoin, TBTF banks will unlock up to $6.8 trillion of T-bill purchasing power. These inert deposits can then be re-leveraged within the fugazi fiat financial system to levitate markets.”
Tokenized dollars, such as JPMD, were highlighted as a case study of how big banks could shift toward blockchain-based compliance and automation. Hayes argued that traditional compliance processes, reliant on outdated technology and costly human oversight, could be replaced by AI-driven systems using transparent, on-chain data. He claimed that AI tools could enforce regulatory rules more efficiently than human teams because they are built on public blockchains with fully identified addresses. Hayes said, “An AI agent trained on the corpus of relevant compliance regulations can perfectly ensure that certain transactions are never approved. The AI can also instantaneously prepare any report requested by a regulator.”
Hayes believes this shift offers banks significant advantages, including reclaiming deposit dominance from fintech challengers, boosting profit margins by eliminating interest payments on tokenized deposits, and reaping share price gains from improved efficiency. He concluded that the US government’s embrace of stablecoins is less about innovation or financial freedom than about monetizing debt. He said, “The real stablecoin play isn’t betting on crusty FinTechs like Circle—it’s understanding that the US government just handed TBTF banks the launch keys to a multi-trillion-dollar liquidity bazooka disguised as ‘innovation.’ This isn’t DeFi. This isn’t financial freedom. This is debt monetization dressed in Ethereum drag.”
Considering this, Hayes warned investors watching the macro picture against waiting for traditional signals, such as another round of quantitative easing. Instead, he advised, “Go long Bitcoin. Go long
. Forget about . The stablecoin Trojan horse is already inside the fortress, and when it opens, it’s not armed with libertarian dreams—it’s loaded with T-bill buying liquidity aimed at keeping equities inflated, deficits funded, and Boomers sedated.”
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