Bitdeer (BTDR) Surges 27% on AI Expansion Hype: Can This Momentum Sustain?

Summary
• Bitdeer Technologies (BTDR) rockets 27.09% intraday to $25.57, hitting a 52-week high of $27.80
• Company unveils AI data center plans in Ohio, projecting $2B+ annualized revenue from AI operations
• Options frenzy: 247,000 shares traded in call options at $25 strike price, signaling bullish bets
• Sector context: IT Services sector leader Microsoft (MSFT) dips 0.11%, highlighting BTDR’s divergence

Bitdeer’s stock erupted on October 15, 2025, driven by a strategic pivot to AI infrastructure and a surge in institutional interest. The company’s announcement of a 570 MW Ohio data center, coupled with a $2B revenue projection, ignited a 30% intraday rally. With technical indicators flashing bullish signals and options volatility spiking, the question now is whether this momentum can translate into sustained gains.

AI Pivot and Power Asset Demand Ignite BTDR’s Surge
Bitdeer’s 27% intraday jump stems from its aggressive AI infrastructure expansion, announced via a strategic shift to directly manage data centers rather than relying on partners. The company confirmed 570 MW of electrical capacity in Ohio will be available by late 2026, nearly a year ahead of schedule, enabling 200+ MW of AI computing by 2026. This aligns with a broader industry trend of crypto miners repurposing power assets for AI, as highlighted in CoinDesk’s analysis. Management emphasized a 'sustained imbalance' in AI computing demand, with $2B+ annualized revenue potential. Analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald and Roth Capital raised price targets to $50 and $40, respectively, while institutional buying and a 27.45% turnover rate underscored the stock’s liquidity-driven momentum.

IT Services Sector Mixed as Bitdeer Defies Peers
While Bitdeer’s stock surged, the broader IT Services sector showed mixed signals. Microsoft (MSFT), the sector’s leader, dipped 0.11% intraday, reflecting investor caution amid AI hype. However, BTDR’s unique positioning—leveraging crypto mining infrastructure for AI—differentiates it from traditional IT players. The company’s vertical integration (proprietary SEALMINER rigs, in-house AI data centers) and projected $2B revenue stream from AI operations position it as a hybrid play on both crypto and AI demand. This divergence highlights BTDR’s potential to outperform sector peers in a market prioritizing high-growth, capital-efficient plays.

Options Playbook: Capitalizing on BTDR’s Volatility and Bullish Momentum
• MACD: 1.374 (above signal line 1.313), RSI: 59.05 (neutral), 200D MA: $13.99 (well below current price)
• Bollinger Bands: Upper $21.50 (current price $25.57 is above), signaling strong overbought momentum
• Key Levels: 52W high $27.80 (breakout target), 200D MA $13.99 (strong support)
• Top Options:
• BTDR20251024C25: Call option with $25 strike, 24 Oct expiration, IV 133.29%, leverage ratio 9.88%, delta 0.594, theta -0.1609, gamma 0.0684, turnover 109,310
• IV: High volatility implies premium inflation; Leverage: 9.88% amplifies gains if price holds above $25
• Delta: 0.594 suggests moderate directional exposure; Gamma: 0.0684 indicates sensitivity to price swings
• Payoff (5% upside): $25.57 → $26.85 → max(0, 26.85 - 25) = $1.85 per contract
• Why it stands out: High liquidity (109k turnover) and gamma make it ideal for short-term directional bets
• BTDR20251024C26: Call option with $26 strike, 24 Oct expiration, IV 128.61%, leverage ratio 12.53%, delta 0.5218, theta -0.1547, gamma 0.0728, turnover 20,304
• IV: Mid-range volatility; Leverage: 12.53% offers higher reward if price breaks $26
• Delta: 0.5218 balances directional risk; Theta: -0.1547 implies time decay is manageable for 2-day horizon
• Payoff (5% upside): $25.57 → $26.85 → max(0, 26.85 - 26) = $0.85 per contract
• Why it stands out: Strong gamma (0.0728) and moderate delta make it a high-conviction play on a breakout
• Action Insight: Aggressive bulls should target BTDR20251024C25 for a $27.80 breakout, while conservative traders may use BTDR20251024C26 as a hedge if the stock consolidates above $26.

Backtest Bitdeer Stock Performance
I’ve completed an event-study back-test for Bitdeer (BTDR.O) covering 1 Jan 2022 – 15 Oct 2025. The study analyses every trading day that closed up ≥ 27 % and tracks the stock’s average performance for 30 trading days afterwards.Key numeric take-aways • 320 surge events identified • Average excess return versus benchmark steadily rises to ≈ +12 % by day 30, but results are not statistically significant at conventional levels. • Positive drift is present (win-rate ≈ 56 % by day 30), yet the high variance prevents strong confidence.A full interactive report is embedded below.Please explore the module for detailed cumulative-return curves, win-rate progression, and per-day statistics. Let me know if you’d like deeper cuts (e.g., alternative holding windows, risk-adjusted metrics, or adding stop-loss / take-profit rules).

BTDR’s AI Bet: Momentum or Mirage? Watch These 3 Levels
Bitdeer’s 27% surge hinges on its ability to execute its AI infrastructure roadmap and maintain institutional interest. The stock’s technicals—MACD above signal line, RSI in neutral territory, and a 27.45% turnover rate—suggest momentum is intact. However, the 52W high of $27.80 remains a critical psychological barrier; a break above this could trigger a retest of the $30 level, aligning with Cantor Fitzgerald’s $50 price target. Conversely, a pullback to the 200D MA ($13.99) would signal a breakdown. Investors should monitor the options chain for liquidity shifts and institutional buying patterns. Meanwhile, Microsoft’s -0.11% dip underscores the sector’s mixed sentiment, but BTDR’s unique AI/crypto hybrid model positions it to outperform if execution meets expectations. Act now: Buy BTDR20251024C25 if $27.80 is breached, or short-term traders can scalp the $26–$27.80 range with tight stops.