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Bitcoin's Four-Year CAGR Plummets to Record Low, Still Outpaces Gold and Stocks

Coin WorldFriday, Feb 21, 2025 6:14 am ET
1min read

Bitcoin's four-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) has declined to 14.45%, the lowest rate on record. Despite this slump, the premier cryptocurrency has still outperformed gold and stocks.

Over the past year, Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced significant price action, setting multiple all-time highs (ATHs) despite the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish stance, which included raising interest rates to curb inflation. Data from CoinGecko shows that BTC has surged 88% over the past year.

However, Bitcoin's four-year CAGR has now fallen to an all-time low of 14.45%. Market analyst Mark Harvey shared a chart on X illustrating the cryptocurrency's declining four-year CAGR. The four-year CAGR represents the average annual growth rate of an asset over four years, accounting for compounding effects, and helps assess long-term performance by smoothing out short-term fluctuations.

Harvey remains optimistic that BTC's CAGR will not stay at this low level for long. He agreed that the cryptocurrency could soon see an explosive upward move.

While Bitcoin's 14.45% four-year CAGR is its lowest on record, it still surpasses the returns of gold and stocks. According to data from Checkonchain, the four-year CAGR for gold, silver, the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and the US dollar has ranged between 4% and 13%.

However, Bitcoin's four-year CAGR pales in comparison to some of the other large-cap cryptocurrencies. For instance, Solana (SOL) offered a CAGR of 118%, while XRP gave 49%. Only Ethereum (ETH) was ranked below BTC with a CAGR of just about 8%.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin commands a total market cap of slightly more than $1.9 trillion, while gold's market cap is almost 10 times greater, around $19 trillion. While there is still a lot of room to grow for Bitcoin, experts opine that it won't be long before the 'digital gold' starts chipping away at gold's dominance.

In a recent client note, analysts at trading

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Cannannaca
02/21
Bitcoin's growth might be slow, but it's still way faster than traditional investments. 🚀🤑
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mrkitanakahn
02/21
Analysts bullish on Bitcoin? No surprise, it's the most secure bet in the wild west of finance.
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daynightcase
02/21
@mrkitanakahn In the crypto jungle, analysts going bullish is just HODLing 101, right?
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foureyedgrrl
02/21
Ethereum underperforming? I'm betting it's just biding time for its next bull run.
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serkankster
02/21
Holding $BTC long-term, ignoring short-term noise.
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mav101000
02/21
@serkankster How long you planning to hold BTC? Curious if you've set a target or any stop-loss.
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floorborgmic
02/21
$BTC outpacing $TSLA and $AAPL lately, who would've thought? 🤔
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xcrowsx
02/21
Bitcoin's CAGR dip? Don't sleep on crypto potential.
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UpbeatBase7935
02/21
Fed's hawkish moves didn't stop BTC. It's like the cryptocurrency has a mind of its own.
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Most_Caramel_8001
02/21
Gotta love crypto for shaking up the traditional game. Gold better watch out.
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Urselff
02/21
Crypto market cap still a fraction of traditional markets, but closing the GAP fast.
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Throwaway420_69____
02/21
Gold can't compete with BTC's growth story
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NRG1788
02/21
@Throwaway420_69____ BTC growth > gold any day.
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superbilliam
02/21
@Throwaway420_69____ Gold's static, BTC's dynamic.
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deevee12
02/21
Still, Bitcoin's lowest CAGR on record and it's still king. The 'digital gold' narrative gaining traction.
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ResponsibleCell1606
02/21
@deevee12 What do you think about ETH's CAGR?
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joethemaker22
02/21
Holding BTC and some ETH. My strategy: stack during dips, ride the waves.
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Legend27893
02/21
Solana's 118% CAGR? Now that's what I call explosive growth. Might need to diversify.
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OG_Time_To_Kill
02/21
Bitcoin's CAGR dip? Yawn, it's still way ahead of legacy assets. HODLing for the moon 🚀
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rw4455
02/21
Gold is old news; Bitcoin's the future. Market's just figuring that out.
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