Why Bitcoin's Wild Ride Isn't a Path to Long-Term Wealth

Eli GrantSaturday, Jun 7, 2025 1:20 pm ET
289min read

In the annals of financial history, few assets have captured the public's imagination—or its recklessness—as Bitcoin. For every story of a “crypto millionaire,” there are countless others of investors left holding the bag after breathtaking collapses. The allure of quick riches is undeniable, but as financial guru Dave Ramsey has long warned, Bitcoin's volatility and regulatory limbo make it a perilous bet for anyone seeking lasting wealth. “Crypto is not a safe investment,” Ramsey has said. “It's all based on speculation—just a step above gambling.” His warnings, rooted in decades of advising individuals on financial discipline, are a stark reminder that Bitcoin's short-term thrills come at the cost of long-term stability.

The Speculation Trap: Ramsey's Case Against Crypto

Ramsey's critique of Bitcoin is both pragmatic and personal. He points to real-life examples like Arabella, a listener who poured her entire net worth into crypto, only to face ruin when the 2022 crash wiped out 73% of Bitcoin's value. “You're in Vegas, and your car payment's on the line,” Ramsey told her, urging her to liquidate crypto to pay off high-interest debt. For Ramsey, the problem isn't just the math—it's the mindset. Crypto's appeal often distracts investors from foundational priorities: paying off debt, building emergency savings, and investing in assets that generate steady returns, like stocks or real estate. “It might've been a spirit, but it wasn't the holy one,” he quipped to Arabella, skewering the quasi-religious fervor around crypto's “can't miss” potential.

Volatility: The Math of a High-Stakes Gamble

Bitcoin's volatility is not a feature—it's a flaw. From 2015 to 2025, its annualized volatility averaged 60–80%, dwarfing the S&P 500's 15–20% and gold's far calmer fluctuations.

SPY, GLD Weekly Volatility
loading
Consider the crashes: in 2018, Bitcoin lost 82% of its value in a single year; in 2022, it dropped 73%. Such swings aren't anomalies—they're the norm. By contrast, the S&P 500 has never had a single-year loss exceeding 37%, and even then, it rebounded within years. Gold, the classic “safe haven,” has never seen a similar wipeout.

The numbers tell a clear story: Bitcoin's value isn't underpinned by earnings, dividends, or tangible assets. It exists in a speculative ecosystem where price is dictated by hype, regulatory whispers, and fear of missing out (FOMO). That's a dangerous foundation for long-term wealth.

Regulatory Uncertainty: The Sword of Damocles

Even if Bitcoin's volatility were manageable, its regulatory environment remains a minefield. Ramsey has noted incremental steps toward oversight—particularly under recent administrations—but the lack of clear rules amplifies risk. Cryptocurrency exchanges face scrutiny over fraud, taxation, and money laundering, while governments globally debate whether to classify Bitcoin as a commodity, currency, or something else entirely. A misstep here—like a ban or a sudden tax crackdown—could trigger another crash. Traditional assets like stocks and bonds, by contrast, operate within well-understood legal frameworks. Their risks are calculable; crypto's are existential.

Build Your Foundation Before Chasing the Next Big Thing

Ramsey's advice is straightforward: Before touching crypto, pay off high-interest debt, save an emergency fund equal to six months of expenses, and invest in a diversified portfolio of stocks. Only then, he says, should a tiny slice of “play money” be considered for high-risk assets like crypto. “Wealth-building isn't about getting rich quick—it's about avoiding ruin,” he argues.

For evidence, look no further than the S&P 500.

SPY Percentage Change
Over the past decade, the index has delivered steady, compounding growth, even through recessions. Bitcoin? It's a roller coaster—exciting in the moment, but unsustainable for anyone not willing to stomach losing 80% of their investment overnight.

The Bottom Line

Bitcoin's volatility and regulatory risks make it a high-stakes gamble, not a retirement plan. For most investors, the path to long-term wealth lies in boring, reliable assets: stocks, bonds, and the companies that power real economies. As Ramsey puts it: “You can't build a house on sand.” Before chasing crypto's siren song, build your financial foundation first. The rest is just Vegas.

AAPL Closing Price

This article synthesizes Ramsey's warnings, empirical data on volatility, and a clear-eyed assessment of crypto's limitations to argue for caution. It's not a blanket condemnation of innovation—but a reminder that wealth is built through discipline, not speculation.

Ask Aime: Is Bitcoin's wild ride signaling another bubble?