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In the past year, early
(BTC) whales have reportedly sold over 500,000 BTC, valued at approximately $50 billion at current rates. This significant sell-off has been matched by substantial institutional inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and corporate treasuries, keeping Bitcoin near its record highs while dampening its volatility. This shift indicates a transition from a speculative asset to an institutional holding.The sales by early holders, including miners, offshore funds, and anonymous wallets, have been nearly matched by net inflows into American spot BTC ETFs. These early holders, who accumulated their holdings when Bitcoin was trading for mere hundreds, are now offloading their BTC for stock-linked financing deals, effectively exiting the crypto market through “in-kind” transfers.
Institutional buyers, led by ETFs and corporate treasuries, have accumulated nearly 900,000 BTC, pushing their combined holdings to 4.8 million BTC. This represents about one-quarter of the cryptocurrency’s 19.8 million circulating supply. Corporate treasuries have been amassing more Bitcoin than their ETF counterparts for three straight quarters, with public companies collectively owning 848,608 BTC.
Despite significant institutional investments, Bitcoin's price has remained relatively stagnant. This trend suggests that the influx of institutional capital is not driving the price up as expected. One potential reason for this phenomenon is the strategy employed by spot Bitcoin ETFs to accumulate the digital asset. The accumulation strategy of these ETFs might be contributing to the stagnation in Bitcoin's price, affecting market dynamics and leading to a situation where the price does not rise despite the increased holdings.
The cryptocurrency world is also experiencing an identity crisis, with a growing number of investors questioning the sustainability of Bitcoin's recent surge. This uncertainty, coupled with broader macroeconomic conditions, is likely playing a role in the price stagnation. Higher interest rates and broader macro conditions are naturally curbing demand for riskier assets like Bitcoin, contributing to the short-term outflows from Bitcoin ETFs.
The founder of SkyBridge, Anthony Scaramucci, has also weighed in on the matter, stating that the trend of companies adding crypto to their balance sheets is temporary. This perspective adds to the narrative that the current institutional buying spree may not be a long-term driver of Bitcoin's price.
In summary, while institutional investments in Bitcoin have been substantial, the price has not responded accordingly. Factors such as ETF accumulation strategies, broader macroeconomic conditions, and the temporary nature of corporate treasury investments are likely contributing to this discrepancy. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, it remains to be seen how these dynamics will play out and whether Bitcoin's price will eventually reflect the level of institutional interest.

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