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Bitcoin vs. MicroStrategy: A Battle of Titans

Wesley ParkSunday, Nov 24, 2024 4:20 am ET
6min read
In the world of cryptocurrency and tech stocks, two powerhouses have emerged as heavyweights: Bitcoin and MicroStrategy. With both boasting impressive performances in 2024, the question on investors' minds is, "Which is the better buy?" Let's dive into the data and examine the risk-adjusted performance, correlation, and debt dynamics of these two powerhouses.



1. Risk-Adjusted Performance: Measuring Returns vs. Risk

Bitcoin, with its higher volatility, offers greater potential returns, reflected in its Sharpe ratio of 1.61 and Sortino ratio of 2.27. However, MicroStrategy's lower volatility and beta make it an attractive choice for risk-averse investors, with a Sharpe ratio of 5.28 and Sortino ratio of 4.05. The table below summarizes the risk-adjusted performance metrics for both assets.

AAOI, ABL, ACHR, ALAR, AMIX...Market Cap, Turnover Rate...


2. Correlation and Portfolio Diversification

The low correlation (0.19) between Bitcoin and MicroStrategy's stock prices is favorable for portfolio diversification. By including both assets in a portfolio, investors can spread risk and benefit from their unique performance patterns.

3. Debt-to-Equity Ratio and Sustainability

MicroStrategy's debt-to-equity ratio has increased significantly due to its Bitcoin acquisition strategy, reaching 1.63 in Q3 2024. While high leverage magnifies gains and losses, the company's ability to sustain its Bitcoin purchases depends on its cash flows and new debt issuances. If Bitcoin's price continues to rise, MicroStrategy's strategy could prove lucrative. However, a decline in Bitcoin's price could elevate the company's risk profile and challenge its solvency.

AAOI, ABL, ACHR, ALAR, AMIX...Market Cap, Turnover Rate...


In conclusion, both Bitcoin and MicroStrategy offer distinct risk-return profiles and potential for portfolio diversification. However, the better buy ultimately depends on investors' risk tolerance and time horizon. Those seeking higher potential returns and able to withstand higher volatility may prefer Bitcoin, while risk-averse investors might opt for MicroStrategy's lower volatility and lower correlation with the broader market.
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Miguel_Legacy
11/24
$MSTR has just revealed its biggest buy ever, slated for tomorrow's market open. Bitcoin looks set to rise overnight, so hold onto your digital bags.
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Legend27893
11/24
$MSTR took advantage of the recent price drop and made a purchase.
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TrendTracker
11/24
$MSTR bitcoin is down over the weekend. This isn’t good news!
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Overlord1317
11/24
$MSTR CNBC's "Fart Master" suggested selling last Wednesday on Fast Money, citing significant gains by MSTR compared to bitcoin. However, when CNBC hosts urge you to sell, it's often wise to buy instead.
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daynightcase
11/24
$MSTR Owning 100k bitcoins would be incredible.
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Ok_Secret4642
11/24
$MSTR Short, get ready for some serious REK'T action.
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AkibaSok
11/24
$MSTR: As BTC plunges, we face a wider gap down on Monday.
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smarglebloppitydo
11/24
$MSTR JackFrost##, Get the scoop from M.Saylor himself. Check out the video here: https://youtu.be/Fztho2KqqdU?si=qNYR0E5uR2ZIBbX5
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11thestate
11/24
If Bitcoin drops, $MSTR could rise because MicroStrategy would be able to purchase more Bitcoin at a lower cost.
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NoTearsNowOnlyDreams
11/24
$MSTR - Ultimately, its performance will hinge on the NAV, but for fun, let's estimate a price. I predict we'll trade at a discount to $BTC.X within a year. Expect forced liquidations and restricted fund-raising as we roll over. This will benefit FIFO investors, as they'll be well-positioned to take advantage of the unfavorable prices.
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bigbear0083
11/24
Diversification game strong with BTC and MSTR
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goodpointbadpoint
11/24
Is MicroStrategy over-leveraging? Debt-to-equity at 1.63 is heavy. What happens if BTC dips?
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Euro347
11/24
Holding BTC for long-term moon mission. 🚀
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Fit-Possibility-1045
11/24
BTC's volatility feels wild. I'm hedging with $MSFT. Diversification is key, peeps.
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Ironman650
11/24
Debt can boost gains but can kill MicroStrategy.
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