Bitcoin’s Unstoppable Ascent: Why $107,000 Is the Next Frontier Amid Ethereum’s Stagnation

Clyde MorganSunday, May 18, 2025 11:59 pm ET
3min read

The cryptocurrency market is at a pivotal inflection point. While Bitcoin (BTC) ascends toward historic highs, Ethereum (ETH) flounders in a liquidity trap—a divergence fueled by institutional greed, structural advantages, and technical validation. For investors, the choice is clear: allocate to Bitcoin’s dominance or risk missing the next leg of its bull run.

Bitcoin’s Momentum: Bulls at the $105K Resistance (And Why It’s About to Break)

As of May 16, 2025, Bitcoin trades at $103,741, consolidating within a $3,500 range between $101.5K support and $105K resistance. This narrow band masks a critical dynamic: institutional capital is flooding in.


- Bitcoin’s spot ETFs attracted $320 million in net inflows over 24 hours on May 16, while Ethereum’s ETFs remain stagnant.
- Michael Saylor’s “no second-tier asset” mantra resonates: Bitcoin’s macro-hedges (e.g., BlackRock’s 3% stake) and $100B+ in annualized mining revenues make it the sole “digital gold” play.

Technical Validation:
- The 50-day moving average has crossed above the 100-day MA, signaling a bullish trend shift.
- $105K resistance—currently holding—could crumble as traders exploit the $3,500 range for accumulation. A breakout here would target $110K, with $100K acting as a floor.

Ethereum’s Stagnation: Structural Flaws or Temporary Setback?

Ethereum’s price languishes near $2,500–$2,600, a 66% drop from its 2024 peak. Analysts debate whether this reflects systemic weakness or a healthy correction.

The Bear Case: Ethereum’s Decline Isn’t a Dip—It’s a Divergence

  • Network Activity Collapse: Ethereum’s transaction volume dropped 40.5% in early 2025, lagging behind Solana (down 30%) and Avalanche (down 23%).
  • Competitive Erosion: Solana’s 100,000 TPS target and $0.0001 fees undermine ETH’s “smart-contract king” narrative.
  • Regulatory Overhang: The U.S. Digital Asset Stockpile Executive Order excludes altcoins, prioritizing Bitcoin’s dominance.

The Bull Case: Ethereum is a Victim of Its Own Success

  • Pectra Upgrade Delays and restaking risks (e.g., $15B TVL in unproven platforms) have spooked traders.
  • $3,000 resistance remains intact, but a bull flag pattern suggests a potential rebound to $3,700.

Verdict: Ethereum’s stagnation is structural, not cyclical. Its 30% staking ratio tightens liquidity, while Bitcoin’s $3.3T market cap absorbs fear-driven capital.

The Case for “Buy the Dip” in Bitcoin—And Why You Can’t Miss This

Analysts are united: $107K+ is achievable by year-end, driven by three unstoppable forces:

  1. Institutional Greed
  2. BlackRock’s $100B Bitcoin stake isn’t a bet—it’s a strategic hedge against geopolitical risks (e.g., Trump’s trade wars).
  3. Chamath Palihapitiya’s FOMO warning: “You’ll regret not buying Bitcoin at $100K when it hits $500K.”

  4. Technical Catalysts

  5. A $105K breakout would erase 2021 resistance and trigger algorithmic buying.
  6. $98K support is a “no-reason-to-fear” floor, with $100K acting as a magnet.

  7. Macro Tailwinds

  8. Gold’s $3,115 price (up 19% YTD) mirrors Bitcoin’s safe-haven appeal.
  9. U.S. 10-year yields—currently 4.6%—are stabilizing, reducing inflation-driven BTC selling.

Risks to Consider (And How to Mitigate Them)

  • Quantum Computing Threats: BlackRock’s warnings are overblown—code upgrades can neutralize this years before it materializes.
  • Regulatory Whiplash: Trump’s pro-crypto rhetoric vs. Biden’s caution creates volatility. Stay below 5% of your portfolio in Bitcoin to hedge risk.
  • Over-leverage: Moomoo’s risk advisories stress avoiding margin trades. Stick to spot positions for capital preservation.

Strategic Entry Points: A Playbook for Bulls

  • Immediate Action: Accumulate Bitcoin between $102K and $105K as a “buy the dip” strategy.
  • Stop-loss: Set at $98K to protect against macro-driven panic.
  • Target: $107K+ by Q4 2025, with $110K as a stretch goal.

Ethereum’s stagnation isn’t a pause—it’s a permanent shift. Bitcoin’s dominance is no longer a narrative; it’s a mathematical certainty.

Final Word: The Next $100K Isn’t a Mountain—It’s a Stepping Stone

The market is screaming “Buy Bitcoin”—in ETF flows, in whale accumulation, and in the fear of missing out. Ethereum’s decline isn’t a temporary glitch—it’s a testament to Bitcoin’s unrivaled network effects.

Act now.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency trading involves high risk. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.