Bitcoin Targets 50% Gain to $165,000 on Wyckoff Pattern

Bitcoin is currently trading near $109,330, with technical models based on Wyckoff accumulation indicating a price projection of $165,000. This pattern, which has been active since February 2025, aligns with market phases observed in long-term crypto cycles. The markup structure and global liquidity forecasts now support this upward continuation.

The chart reflects a detailed Wyckoff accumulation sequence that began in February and gained strength through July 2025. Bitcoin’s spring occurred on April 6, marking a sharp recovery from temporary lows. The subsequent golden cross confirmed bullish strength with the price reclaiming key support levels above $106,000. Phase B included automatic reactions and failed breakdowns, setting the foundation for higher highs. The recent movement toward $109,000 reflects the transition into Phase D, which historically brings sustained markups led by renewed demand and low supply conditions.

The “AR” level or automatic reaction base at $106,400 is now acting as strong support. If this price holds, it signals continuation within Wyckoff’s defined markup phase. The shift to red price action on the chart confirms entry into this next leg upward. Bitcoin’s projected resistance target of $165,000 aligns with expanding global liquidity and macro models favoring asset reallocation. The markup region is clearly defined on the chart, beginning near $125,000 and ending at the $165,000 mark. Data overlays show that liquidity injections globally tend to precede these crypto price expansions.

The overlayed red price path follows a projected trajectory often associated with high liquidity environments. Historical comparisons suggest a correlation between liquidity peaks and Bitcoin cycle tops. As this liquidity expands, risk-on assets like Bitcoin tend to follow upward. Technical confluence at $124,956 marks a potential mid-term resistance zone. The price must first claim this area before a push toward the full projection. Once cleared, the path to $165,000 becomes structurally consistent with prior market expansions.

Models referenced in the chart rely on liquidity cycles, paired with established accumulation theory. These factors increase the reliability of the projected levels. If patterns hold, the price could hit $165,000 within months, supported by institutional flows and low exchange supply. With the chart now following a textbook Wyckoff sequence, the question remains: will Bitcoin complete its projected markup phase? Historical chart overlays display a strong resemblance to previous cycles that ended in multi-fold price increases. The global liquidity backdrop provides macro support, increasing the chance that this sequence may fully materialize. Bitcoin currently remains above key moving averages and past breakout zones.

The April 6th spring marked a turning point where the price reclaimed long-term support. Since then, the rally has respected structure and climbed steadily. Current price action near $109,000 remains within the projected path set out months earlier. Each phase of the Wyckoff pattern has played out with minimal deviation. Now in Phase D, upward movement is consistent with past expansion behavior. The markup region defined from $125,000 to $165,000 offers a clear roadmap for the coming weeks. As liquidity deepens and accumulation zones transition to markup phases, price history suggests a complete move toward $165K remains possible. The ongoing structure aligns with chart precedents and continues to support this multi-month rally outlook.