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Bitcoin’s recent rally has pushed its price close to $95,000, creating a landscape of potential profits and risks for investors. As the cryptocurrency surges, short-term holders are finding themselves in profitable positions, with the price exceeding the short-term realized price. This development has enhanced bullish sentiments, as historically, when short-term holders return to profit after facing unrealized losses, it often signals further upward momentum. This could set the stage for a push towards the $100,000 mark.
Throughout April, Bitcoin’s supply mapping indicated significant activity from first-time buyers, reflecting renewed interest and fresh capital influx at elevated price points. Additionally, long-term holders—those maintaining their investment for over 155 days—have accumulated an additional 363,000 BTC since February. This accumulation holds substantial implications, as Bitcoin whales and sharks capitalize on 300% of the annual issuance, compelling others to reconsider their positioning.
Despite the rising prices, caution remains
. Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. has highlighted that a significant resistance level persists at $96,100. This resistance is from the cohort holding coins for 3-6 months, and overcoming this level could open up the next target of $100,000. This underscores the importance of close monitoring as momentum builds towards critical price thresholds.Analysis shows that approximately 392,000 BTC are being held by investors at an average cost basis of $97,000. This suggests a potential sell-off point should the price reach that level, as many holders might opt to sell to break even, which could stymie Bitcoin’s forward movement. However, anonymous trader Ezy Bitcoin remains optimistic, noting that the Bitcoin price action aligns with the Wyckoff reaccumulation phase, indicating a structured accumulation by large players.
Charts reflecting the Wyckoff pattern reveal a bullish outlook, with anticipated price targets set at $131,500, $144,900, and $166,700. As the market prepares for potential uptrends, the absorption of supply by major players becomes increasingly vital. This sentiment reflects a broader trend where strategic accumulation may mitigate intermittent sell-side pressures, heightening investor anticipation for long-term gains.
As Bitcoin approaches critical resistance levels, the market appears to exhibit both optimism and apprehension. With a mix of short-term holder profitability and the looming risk of consolidation at $97,000, traders must remain vigilant. Overall, the evolving dynamics within the cryptocurrency landscape suggest a complex interplay of bullish momentum tempered by potential sell-side risks. Investors looking to navigate these
should stay informed and agile.
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