Bitcoin Surges 100% Past $100,000 on Strategy's Nasdaq-100 Inclusion

Bitcoin's recent surge has been closely tied to the inclusion of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) in the Nasdaq-100, which triggered a significant rally in MSTR stock and pushed Bitcoin past $100,000. This move has fueled further accumulation of Bitcoin by Strategy, which now holds 592,345 BTC, representing approximately 2.8% of the total Bitcoin supply. The company's aggressive accumulation strategy, particularly during the "Trump pump" period, has been a key driver in Bitcoin's price movement.

With speculation growing around a potential inclusion of Strategy in the S&P 500, investors are wondering if this could be the next major catalyst for both MSTR and Bitcoin. The S&P 500, which tracks 500 of the largest U.S. companies across various sectors, has a broader influence compared to the Nasdaq-100. If Strategy were to be included in the S&P 500, it would be the first "Bitcoin-centric" balance sheet represented in the index, potentially driving further institutional adoption of Bitcoin.

The potential inclusion of Strategy in the S&P 500 has already sparked significant social chatter, indicating that the market is closely watching this development. The number of public companies holding Bitcoin has more than doubled over the past year, reaching 151, and another high-profile listing could further accelerate this trend. This could push Bitcoin even deeper into the corporate mainstream, potentially driving its price even higher.

Bitcoin's recent price movements have been closely correlated with the S&P 500, which recently hit a record high. The rising correlation between the two suggests that Bitcoin could follow the S&P 500's upward trajectory. The increasing odds of a September rate cut could further fuel a risk-on sentiment, potentially driving Bitcoin to new highs. However, investors should be cautious as a breakdown of the $100,000 psychological level could invalidate the bullish outlook and trigger a liquidation cascade.

Bitcoin's Time Price Opportunity (TPO) chart highlights key levels to watch, with the naked Point of Control (nPOC) formed at $109,650 on the June 11 trading session being a crucial resistance level. Support levels are at $104,347 and $103,463, where buy tails offer demand. The daily Bitcoin price chart shows clear signs of bullish momentum, with the 50-day SMA at $105,844 preventing a breakdown over the past five days. The Awesome Oscillator (AO) has produced a green histogram above the mean level, indicating a shift in momentum favoring bulls. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above its mean level, indicating a market dominated by buyers. A decisive daily candlestick close above $107,858 could confirm a breakout and potentially propel Bitcoin's price to $112,424 or even $116,923, signaling a new record high for BTC.

In summary, the 2025 Bitcoin price prediction remains bullish, with calming geopolitical tensions and a buyer-skewed daily BTC chart. However, traders need to be careful as a breakdown of the $100,000 psychological level would invalidate the aforementioned bullish outlook. The potential inclusion of Strategy in the S&P 500 could be a significant catalyst for Bitcoin's price movement, driving further institutional adoption and potentially pushing Bitcoin even higher.